Day 1682

Monday.

2003.12451
The effect of dark matter on stars at the Galactic Center: The paradox of youth problem
Hassani, et al

Stars that evolve near the Galactic massive black hole show strange behaviors. The spectroscopic features of these stars show that they must be old. But their luminosities are much higher than the amounts that are predicted by the current stellar evolutionary models, which means that they must be active and young stars. In fact this group of stars shows signatures of old and young stars, simultaneously. This is a paradox known as the "paradox of youth problem" (PYP). Some people tried to solve the PYP without supposing dark matter effects on stars. But, in this work, we implemented Weakly Interacting Massive Particles (WIMPs) annihilation as a new source of energy inside such stars. This implementation is logical for stars that evolve at high dark matter density environments. The new source of energy causes stars to follow different evolutionary paths on the H-R diagram in comparison with classical stellar evolutionary models. Increasing dark matter density in stellar evolutionary simulations causes the deviations from the standard H-R diagrams becomes more pronounced. By investigating the effects of WIMPs density on stellar structures and evolutions, we concluded that by considering dark matter effects on stars at the Galactic center, it is possible to solve the PYP. In addition to dark matter effect, complete solutions to PYP must consider all extreme and unique physical conditions that are present near the Galactic massive black hole.

Day 1681

Friday.

2003.11555
Clusters have edges: the projected phase space structure of SDSS redMaPPer clusters
Tomooka, Rozo, et al

We study the distribution of line-of-sight velocities of galaxies in the vicinity of SDSS redMaPPer galaxy clusters. Based on their velocities, galaxies can be split into two categories: galaxies that are dynamically associated with the cluster, and random line-of-sight projections. Both the fraction of galaxies associated with the galaxy clusters, and the velocity dispersion of the same, exhibit a sharp feature as a function of radius. The feature occurs at a radial scale $R_{\rm edge} \approx 2.2R_{\rm{\lambda}}$, where $R_{\rm{\lambda}}$ is the cluster radius assigned by redMaPPer. We refer to $R_{\rm edge}$ as the "edge radius." These results are naturally explained by a model that further splits the galaxies dynamically associated with a galaxy cluster into a component of galaxies orbiting the halo and an infalling galaxy component. The edge radius $R_{\rm edge}$ constitutes a true "cluster edge", in the sense that no orbiting structures exist past this radius. A companion paper (Aung et al. 2020) tests whether the "halo edge" hypothesis holds when investigating the full three-dimensional phase space distribution of dark matter substructures in numerical simulations, and demonstrates that this radius coincides with a suitably defined splashback radius.

2003.11557

The phase space structure of dark matter haloes

Aung, Nagai, Rozo, Garcia

The phase space structure of dark matter halos can be used to measure the mass of the halo, infer mass accretion rates, and probe the effects of modified gravity. Previous studies showed that the splashback radius can be measured in position space using the slope of the density profile. Using N-body simulations, we show that the phase space structure of the dark matter halo does not end at this splashback radius. Instead, there exists a region where infalling, splashback, and virialized halos are mixed spatially. We model the distribution of the three kinematically distinct populations and show that there exists an "edge radius" beyond which a dark matter halo has no orbiting substructures. This radius is a fixed multiple of the splashback radius as defined in previous works, and can be interpreted as a radius which contains a fixed fraction of the apocenters of dark matter particles. Our results provide a firm theoretical foundation to the satellite galaxy model adopted in the companion paper by Tomooka et al., where we analyzed the phase space distribution of SDSS redMaPPer clusters.

2003.11558

Source distributions of cosmic shear surveys in efficiency space

Tessore, Harrison

We show that the lensing efficiency of cosmic shear generically has a simple shape, even in the case of a tomographic survey with badly behaved photometric redshifts. We argue that source distributions for cosmic shear can therefore be more effectively parametrised in "efficiency space". Using realistic simulations, we find that the true lensing efficiency of a current cosmic shear survey without disconnected outliers in the redshift distributions can be described to per cent accuracy with only two parameters, and the approach straightforwardly generalises to other parametric forms and surveys. The cosmic shear signal is thus largely insensitive to the details of the source distributions, and the features that matter can be summarised by a small number of suitable efficiency parameters. For the simulated survey, we show that prior knowledge at the ten per cent level, which is attainable e.g. from photometric redshifts, is enough to marginalise over the efficiency parameters without severely affecting the constraints on the cosmology parameters $\Omega_m$ and $\sigma_8$.

Day 1680

Thursday.

2003.11096
Dark matter haloes in the multicomponent model. III. From dwarfs to galaxy clusters
Todoroki, Medvedev

A possibility of DM being multicomponent has a strong implication on resolving decades-long known cosmological problems on small scale. In addition to elastic scattering, the model allows for inelastic interactions, which can be characterized by a 'velocity kick' parameter. The simplest 2cDM model with cross section $0.01\lesssim\sigma/m<1\textrm{ cm}^{2}{ \rm g}^{-1}$ and the kick velocity $V_{k}\simeq 100\textrm{ km s}^{-1}$ has been shown to robustly resolve the missing satellites, core-cusp, and too-big-to-fail problems in $N$-body cosmological simulations tested on MW-like haloes of a virial mass $\sim5 \times 10^{11}$ M$_{\odot}$ (Paper I $\&$ II). With the aim of further constraining the parameter space available for the 2cDM model, we extend our analysis to dwarf and galaxy cluster haloes with their virial mass of $\sim 10^7 - 10^8$ and $\sim 10^{13} - 10^{14}$ M$_{\odot}$, respectively. We find $\sigma_{0} / m \gtrsim 0.1 \textrm{ cm}^{2}{\rm g}^{-1}$ is preferentially disfavored for both dwarfs and galaxy cluster haloes in comparison with observations, while $\sigma_{0} / m = 0.001 \textrm{ cm}^{2}{\rm g}^{-1}$ causes little perceptible difference from that of the CDM counterpart for most of the cross section's velocity dependence studied in this work. Our main result is that within the reasonable set of parameters the 2cDM model can successfully explain the observational trends seen in dwarf galaxy and galaxy cluster haloes and the model leaves us an open window for other possible alternative DM models.

2003.11499

Giants eating giants: mass loss and giant planets modifying the luminosity of the Tip of the Giant Branch

Jiminiez, Jorgensen, Verde

During the red giant phase, stars loose mass at the highest rate since birth. The mass-loss rate is not fixed, but varies from star-to-star by up to 5%, resulting in variations of the star's luminosity at the tip of the red giant branch (TRGB). Also, most stars, during this phase, engulf part of their planetary system, including their gas giant planets. Gas giant planet masses range between 0.1 to 2% of the host star mass. The engulfing of their gas giants planets can modify their luminosity at the TRGB, i.e. the point at which the He-core degeneracy is removed. We show that the increase in mass of the star by the engulfing of the gas giant planets only modifies the luminosity of a star at the TRGB by less than 0.1%, while metallicity can modify the luminosity of a star at the TRGB by up to 0.5%. However, the increase in turbulence of the convective envelope of the star, i.e., modification of the mixing length, has a more dramatic effect, on the star's luminosity, which we estimate could be as large as 5%. The effect is always in the direction to increase the turbulence and thus the mixing length which turns into a systematic decrease of the luminosity of the star at the TRGB. We find that the star-to-star variation of the mass-loss rate will dominate the variations in the luminosity of the TRGB with a contribution at the 5% level. If the star-to-star variation is driven by environmental effects --as it is reasonable to assume--, the same effects can potentially create an environmentally-driven mean effect on the luminosity of the tip of the red giant branch of a galaxy. Finally, we touch upon how to infer the frequency, and identify the engulfment, of exoplanets in low-metallicity RGB stars through high resolution spectroscopy as well as how to quantify mass loss rate distributions from the morphology of the horizontal branch.

Day 1679

Wednesday.

2003.10454
The impact of spectroscopic incompleteness in direct calibration of redshift distributions for weak lensing surveys
Hartley et al

Obtaining accurate distributions of galaxy redshifts is a critical aspect of weak lensing cosmology experiments. One of the methods used to estimate and validate redshift distributions is apply weights to a spectroscopic sample so that their weighted photometry distribution matches the target sample. In this work we estimate the \textit{selection bias} in redshift that is introduced in this procedure. We do so by simulating the process of assembling a spectroscopic sample (including observer-assigned confidence flags) and highlight the impacts of spectroscopic target selection and redshift failures. We use the first year (Y1) weak lensing analysis in DES as an example data set but the implications generalise to all similar weak lensing surveys. We find that using colour cuts that are not available to the weak lensing galaxies can introduce biases of $\Delta~z\sim0.015$ in the weighted mean redshift of different redshift intervals. To assess the impact of incompleteness in spectroscopic samples, we select only objects with high observer-defined confidence flags and compare the weighted mean redshift with the true mean. We find that the mean redshift of the DES Y1 weak lensing sample is typically biased at the $\Delta~z=0.005-0.05$ level after the weighting is applied. The bias we uncover can have either sign, depending on the samples and redshift interval considered. For the highest redshift bin, the bias is larger than the uncertainties in the other DES Y1 redshift calibration methods, justifying the decision of not using this method for the redshift estimations. We discuss several methods to mitigate this bias.

2003.10766

PhotoWeb redshift: boosting photometric redshift accuracy with large spectroscopic surveys

Shuntov, et al

Improving distance measurements in large imaging surveys is a major challenge to better reveal the distribution of galaxies on a large scale and to link galaxy properties with their environments. Photometric redshifts can be efficiently combined with the cosmic web (CW) extracted from overlapping spectroscopic surveys to improve their accuracy. We apply a similar method using a new generation of photometric redshifts based on a convolution neural network (CNN). The CNN is trained on the SDSS images with the main galaxy sample (SDSS-MGS, $r \leq 17.8$) and the GAMA spectroscopic redshifts up tor $\sim 19.8$. The mapping of the CW is obtained with 680,000 spectroscopic redshifts from the MGS and BOSS surveys. The redshift probability distribution functions (PDF), which are well calibrated (unbiased and narrow, $\leq 120$ Mpc), intercept a few CW structure along the line of sight. Combining these PDFs with the density field distribution provides new photometric redshifts, $z_{web}$, whose accuracy is improved by a factor of two (i.e.,${\sigma} \sim 0.004(1+z)$) for galaxies with $r \leq 17.8$. For half of them, the distance accuracy is better than 10 cMpc. The narrower the original PDF, the larger the boost in accuracy. No gain is observed for original PDFs wider than 0.03. The final $z_{web}$ PDFs also appear well calibrated. The method performs slightly better for passive galaxies than star-forming ones, and for galaxies in massive groups since these populations better trace the underlying large-scale structure. Reducing the spectroscopic sampling by a factor of 8 still improves the photometric redshift accuracy by 25%. Extending the method to galaxies fainter than the MGS limit still improves the redshift estimates for 70% of the galaxies, with a gain in accuracy of 20% at low $z$ where the resolution of the CW is the highest.

Day 1678

Tuesday.

2003.09452
Mass loss in tidally stripped systems; the energy-based truncation method
Drakos, et al

The ability to accurately predict the evolution of tidally stripped haloes is important for understanding galaxy formation and testing the properties of dark matter. Most studies of substructure evolution make predictions based on empirical models of tidal mass loss that are calibrated using numerical simulations. This approach can be accurate in the cases considered, but lacks generality and does not provide a physical understanding of the processes involved. Recently, we demonstrated that truncating NFW distribution functions sharply in energy results in density profiles that resemble those of tidally stripped systems, offering a path to constructing physically motivated models of tidal mass loss. In this work, we review calculations of mass loss based on energy truncation alone, and then consider what secondary effects may modulate mass loss beyond this. We find that a combination of dependence on additional orbital parameters and variations in individual particle energies over an orbit results in a less abrupt truncation in energy space as a subhalo loses mass. Combining the energy truncation approach with a simple prediction for the mass-loss rate, we construct a full model of mass loss that can accurately predict the evolution of a subhalo in terms of a single parameter $\eta_{\rm eff}$. This parameter can be fully determined from the initial orbital and halo properties, and does not require calibration with numerical simulations.

2003.09900

Cosmic ray feedback from supernovae in dwarf galaxies

Dashyan, Dubois

The regulation of the baryonic content in dwarf galaxies is a long-standing problem. Supernovae (SNe) are supposed to play a key role in forming large-scale galactic winds by removing important amounts of gas from galaxies. SNe are efficient accelerators of non-thermal particles, so-called cosmic rays (CRs), which can substantially modify the dynamics of the gas and conditions to form large-scale galactic winds. We investigate how CR injection by SNe impacts the star formation and the formation of large-scale winds in dwarf galaxies, and whether it can produce galaxy star formation rates (SFR) and wind properties closer to observations. We run CR magneto-hydrodynamical simulations of dwarf galaxies at high resolution (9 pc) with the adaptive mesh refinement code ramses. Those disc galaxies are embedded in isolated halos of mass $10^{10}$ and $10^{11} \, \rm M_{\odot}$, and CRs are injected by SNe. We include CR isotropic and anisotropic diffusion with various diffusion coefficients, CR radiative losses, and CR streaming.The injection of CR energy into the interstellar medium smooths out the highest gas densities, which reduces the SFR by a factor of 2-3. Mass outflow rates are significantly greater with CR diffusion, by 2 orders of magnitudes for the higher diffusion coefficients. Without diffusion and streaming, CRs are inefficient at generating winds. CR streaming alone allows for the formation of winds but which are too weak to match observations. The formation of galactic winds strongly depends on the diffusion coefficient: for low coefficients, CR energy stays confined in high density regions where CR energy losses are highest, and higher coefficients, which allow for a more efficient leaking of CRs out of dense gas, produce stronger winds. CR diffusion leads to colder and denser winds than without CRs, and brings outflow rates and mass loading factors much closer to observations.

2003.10070

Satellite Alignment: III. Satellite galaxies spatial distribution and their dependence on redshift with a novel galaxy finder

Tang, et al

After extensively explored, broad agreement between observations and theories has been reached that satellites are preferentially aligned with major axes of their host centrals. There are still some issues unsolved on this topic. In this paper, we present studies on satellite spatial distribution. To fairly compare with observations, we develop a novel galaxy finder and reconstruction algorithm in hydrodynamical simulation, which is based on the projected mock image, taking into account the full consideration of the point spread function, pixel size, surface brightness limit, resolution and redshift dimming effects. With galaxy samples constructed using such an algorithm, the satellite alignment is examined by comparing with observational results. It is found that the observational alignment can be reproduced for red galaxies, which dominate the sample in this study, but not for blue galaxies. Satellites' radial distribution is also investigated. It exhibits that outer satellites within host halos show stronger alignment signal than satellites in the inner regions, especially for red satellites, which is in contrast with previous studies. The disagreement is mainly due to extra galaxies identified by our new galaxy finder, which are mainly located in the inner region of host halos. Our study illustrates that at lower redshift, the alignment strength becomes stronger, while radial distribution curve becomes flatter. This suggests differences in the evolution of the angular distribution between satellites residing in the inner and outer halos, and implies that the post-infall evolution reduces the original alignment signal, that the impact decreases for satellites with later infall times.

2003.10153

Universal properties of primary and secondary cosmic ray energy spectra

Smolla, et al

Atomic nuclei appearing in cosmic rays are typically classified as primary or secondary. However, a better understanding of their origin and propagation properties is still necessary. We analyse the flux of primary (He, C, O) and secondary nuclei (Li, Be, B) detected with rigidity (momentum/charge) between 2 GV and 3 TV by the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer (AMS) on the International Space Station. We show that $q$-exponential distribution functions, as motivated by generalized versions of statistical mechanics with temperature fluctuations, provide excellent fits for the measured flux of all nuclei considered. Primary and secondary fluxes reveal a universal dependence on kinetic energy per nucleon for which the underlying energy distribution functions are solely distinguished by their effective degrees of freedom. All given spectra are characterized by a universal mean temperature parameter $\sim$ 200 MeV which agrees with the Hagedorn temperature. Our analysis suggests that QCD scattering processes together with nonequilibrium temperature fluctuations imprint heavily and universally onto the measured cosmic ray spectra, and produce a similar shape of energy spectra as high energy collider experiments on the Earth.

2003.10278

Using variability and VLBI to measure cosmological distances

Hodgson, et al

In this paper, we propose a new approach to determining cosmological distances to active galactic nuclei (AGN) via light travel-time arguments, which can be extended from nearby sources to very high redshift sources. The key assumption is that the variability seen in AGN is constrained by the speed of light and therefore provides an estimate of the linear size of an emitting region. This can then be compared with the angular size measured with very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) in order to derive a distance. We demonstrate this approach on a specific well studied low redshift (z = 0.0178) source 3C84 (NGC 1275), which is the bright radio core of the Perseus Cluster. We derive an angular diameter distance including statistical errors of $D_{A} = 72^{+5}_{-6}$ Mpc for this source, which is consistent with other distance measurements at this redshift. Possible sources of systematic errors and ways to correct for them are discussed.

Day 1677

Monday.

2003.09172
Bimodal distribution of the solar wind at 1 AU
Larrodera, Cid

Here we aim to separate the two main contributions of slow and fast solar wind that appear at 1 AU. The Bi-Gaussian function is proposed as the probability distribution function of the two main components of the solar wind. The positions of the peaks of every simple Gaussian curve are associated with the typical values of every contribution to solar wind. We used the entire data set from the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) mission in an analysis of the data set as a whole and as yearly series. Solar cycle dependence is considered to provide more accurate results for the typical values of the different parameters. The distribution of the solar wind at 1 AU is clearly bimodal, not only for velocity, but also for proton density, temperature and magnetic field. New typical values for the main parameters of the slow and fast components of the solar wind at 1 AU are proposed.

Day 1676

Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

2003.06881
Transformative science from the lunar farside: Observations of the Dark Ages and Exoplanetary Systems at low radio frequencies
Burns

The farside of the Moon is a pristine, quiet platform to conduct low radio frequency observations of the early Universe's Dark Ages, as well as space weather and magnetospheres associated with habitable exoplanets. In this paper, NASA-funded concept studies will be described including a lunar-orbiting spacecraft, DAPPER, that will measure the 21 cm global spectrum at redshifts 40-80, and an array of low frequency dipoles on the lunar farside surface, FARSIDE. DAPPER observations (17-38 MHz), using a single cross-dipole antenna, will measure the amplitude of the 21 cm spectrum to the level required to distinguish the standard {\Lambda}CDM cosmological model from those of additional cooling models possibly produced by exotic physics such as dark matter interactions. FARSIDE has a notional architecture consisting of 128 dipole antennas deployed across a 10 km area by a rover. FARSIDE would image the entire sky each minute in 1400 channels over 0.1-40 MHz. This would enable monitoring of the nearest stellar systems for the radio signatures of coronal mass ejections and energetic particle events, and would also detect the magnetospheres of the nearest candidate habitable exoplanets. In addition, FARSIDE would determine the Dark Ages global 21 cm signal at yet lower frequencies and provide a pathfinder for power spectrum measurements.

2003.07251

First observations and magnitude measurement of SpaceX's Darksat

Tregloan-Reed, et al

Measure the Sloan g' magnitudes of the SpaceX STARLINK-1130 (Darksat) and 1113 LEO communication satellites and determine the effectiveness of the Darksat darkening treatment at 475.4\,nm. Two observations of the SpaceX STARLINK Darksat LEO communication satellite were conducted on 2020/02/08 and 2020/03/06 using a Sloan r' and g' respectively. While a second satellite, STARLINK-1113 was observed on 2020/03/06 using a Sloan g' filter. The initial observation on 2020/02/08 was a test observation when Darksat was still manoeuvring to its nominal orbit and orientation. Based on the successful test observation, the first main observation was conducted on 2020/03/06 along with an observation of a second STARLINK satellite. The calibration, image processing and analysis of the Darksat Sloan g' image gives an estimated Sloan g' magnitude of $\mathbf{7.57\pm0.04}$ at a range of 976.50\,km. For STARLINK-1113 an estimated Sloan g' magnitude of $\mathbf{6.69\pm0.05}$ at a range of 941.62\,km was found. When scaled to a range of 550\,km, a reduction of (55\,\%\,$\pm$\,4.8\,\%) is seen in the reflected solar flux between Darksat and STARLINK-1113. The data and results presented in this work, show that the special darkening "treatment" used by SpaceX for Darksat has reduced the Sloan g' magnitude by $0.88\pm0.05$\,mag (55\,\%\,$\pm$\,4.8\,\%), when the range is equal to a nominal orbital height (550\,km). This result will serve members of the astronomical community modelling the satellite mega-constellations, to ascertain their true impact on both the amateur and professional astronomical communities. Concurrent and further observations are planned to cover the full optical and NIR spectrum, from an ensemble of instruments, telescopes and observatories.

2003.07367

Euclid: The selection of quiescent an star-forming galaxies using observed colours

Bisigello, et al

The Euclid mission will observe well over a billion galaxies out to $z\sim6$ and beyond. This will offer an unrivalled opportunity to investigate several key questions for understanding galaxy formation and evolution. The first step for many of these studies will be the selection of a sample of quiescent and star-forming galaxies, as is often done in the literature by using well known colour techniques such as the `UVJ' diagram. However, given the limited number of filters available for the Euclid telescope, the recovery of such rest-frame colours will be challenging. We therefore investigate the use of observed Euclid colours, on their own and together with ground-based u-band observations, for selecting quiescent and star-forming galaxies. The most efficient colour combination, among the ones tested in this work, consists of the (u-VIS) and (VIS-J) colours. We find that this combination allows users to select a sample of quiescent galaxies complete to above $\sim70\%$ and with less than 15$\%$ contamination at redshifts in the range $0.75<z<1$. For galaxies at high-z or without the u-band complementary observations, the (VIS-Y) and (J-H) colours represent a valid alternative, with $>65\%$ completeness level and contamination below 20$\%$ at $1<z<2$ for finding quiescent galaxies. In comparison, the sample of quiescent galaxies selected with the traditional UVJ technique is only $\sim20\%$ complete at $z<3$, when recovering the rest-frame colours using mock Euclid observations. This shows that our new methodology is the most suitable one when only Euclid bands, along with u-band imaging, are available.

2003.07446

The Low Earth Orbit Satellite population and impacts of the SpaceX Starlink Constellation

McDowell

I discuss the current low Earth orbit artificial satellite population and show that the proposed `megaconstellation' of circa 12,000 Starlink internet satellites would dominate the lower part of Earth orbit, below 600 km, with a latitude-dependent areal number density of between 0.005 and 0.01 objects per square degree at airmass < 2. Such large, low altitude satellites appear visually bright to ground observers, and the initial Starlinks are naked eye objects. I model the expected number of illuminated satellites as a function of latitude, time of year, and time of night and summarize the range of possible consequences for ground-based astronomy. In winter at lower latitudes typical of major observatories, the satellites will not be illuminated for six hours in the middle of the night. However, at low elevations near twilight at intermediate latitudes (45-55 deg, e.g. much of Europe) hundreds of satellites may be visible at once to naked-eye observers at dark sites.

2003.07805

A flat-panel brightness model for the Starlink Satellites and measurement of their absolute visual magnitude

Malama

The Starlink satellites are shaped like flat panels. The flat sides face zenith and nadir during normal operations. Their brightness is determined by the product of the solar illumination on the downward facing side of the panel multiplied by the area of that side projected toward the observer on Earth. This geometry leads to a unique brightness function that is not shared by other satellites. For example, the observed brightness is very sensitive to the solar elevation angle. There are circumstances where sunlight only illuminates the upward facing side of the satellite rendering it invisible to Earth-based observers. A brightness model depending on the solar aspect and the observer aspect of the flat panel, in addition to the satellite distance, is described. Absolute brightness is the only free parameter of the model, and it is taken to be that at a distance of 1,000 km when the solar and observer factors are unity. This model has been successfully fitted to a set of observed magnitudes. The absolute visual magnitude of a Starlink satellite as determined from this fitting is 4.1 +/- 0.1. The model could be used to determine the absolute magnitude of the Starlink satellite known as Dark Sat which has a special low-albedo coating.

2003.07866

Repeated impact-driven plume formation on Enceladus over Myr timescales

Siraj, Loeb

Water plumes erupting from the `tiger stripe' features on the south pole of Enceladus are thought to connect to a global subsurface ocean. Proposed origins for the initial stress necessary to form the `tiger stripes' include a giant impact, which would require true polar wander, or tensile stresses, which would require a partial freezing of the subsurface ocean. A further issue with these hypotheses is that the `tiger stripes' may be short-lived. We show here that impact resurfacing can seal off plumes and mass loss can lead to their compression and closure over $\sim 1 \mathrm{\;Myr}$. Since plumes are observed at present, a mechanism by which new plumes can be generated every $\sim 1 \mathrm{\;Myr}$ and by which such plumes are most likely to form at the south pole is needed. We propose and investigate the possibility that impacts constitute a adequate repeating source for the continual instigation of fractures and plumes. We find that the rate of impacts on Enceladus suggests the formation of $\sim 10^3$ independent plume systems per Gyr, the vast majority on the south pole, and is consistent with the Cassini-derived age of the south pole for a lunar-like bombardment history, our estimates of fracture lifetimes, and with the needed parameters for parallel fracture propagation. The model favors a bombardment history similar to that of Triton over one more similar to that of the Galilean satellites, and favors a cumulative power-law index of 4.2 for impactors with radius, $1 \mathrm{\;km} < R < 10 \mathrm{\;km}$.

2003.07985

Tether capture of spacecraft at Neptune

Sanmartín, Peláez

Past planetary missions have been broad and detailed for Gas Giants, compared to flyby missions for Ice Giants. Presently, a mission to Neptune using electrodynamic tethers is under consideration due to the ability of tethers to provide free propulsion and power for orbital insertion as well as additional exploratory maneuvering --- providing more mission capability than a standard orbiter mission. Tether operation depends on plasma density and magnetic field $\mathbf{B}$, though tethers can deal with ill-defined density profiles, with the anodic segment self-adjusting to accommodate densities. Planetary magnetic fields are due to currents in some small volume inside the planet, magnetic-moment vector, and typically a dipole law approximation --- which describes the field outside. When compared with Saturn and Jupiter, the Neptunian magnetic structure is significantly more complex: the dipole is located below the equatorial plane, is highly offset from the planet center, and at large tilt with its rotation axis. Lorentz-drag work decreases quickly with distance, thus requiring spacecraft periapsis at capture close to the planet and allowing the large offset to make capture efficiency (spacecraft-to-tether mass ratio) well above a no-offset case. The S/C might optimally reach periapsis when crossing the meridian plane of the dipole, with the S/C facing it; this convenient synchronism is eased by Neptune rotating little during capture. Calculations yield maximum efficiency of approximately 12, whereas a $10^{\circ}$ meridian error would reduce efficiency by about 6%. Efficiency results suggest new calculations should be made to fully include Neptunian rotation and consider detailed dipole and quadrupole corrections.

2003.09395

Over-constrained models of time delay lenses redux: how the angular tail wags the radial dog

Kochanek

The two properties of the radial mass distribution of a gravitational lens that are well-constrained by Einstein rings are the Einstein radius R_E and xi2 = R_E alpha''(R_E)/(1-kappa_E), where alpha''(R_E) and kappa_E are the second derivative of the deflection profile and the convergence at R_E. However, if there is a tight mathematical relationship between the radial mass profile and the angular structure, as is true of ellipsoids, an Einstein ring can appear to strongly distinguish radial mass distributions with the same xi2. This problem is beautifully illustrated by the ellipsoidal models in Millon et al. (2019). When using Einstein rings to constrain the radial mass distribution, the angular structure of the models must contain all the degrees of freedom expected in nature (e.g., external shear, different ellipticities for the stars and the dark matter, modest deviations from elliptical structure, modest twists of the axes, modest ellipticity gradients, etc.) that work to decouple the radial and angular structure of the gravity. Models of Einstein rings with too few angular degrees of freedom will lead to strongly biased likelihood distinctions between radial mass distributions and very precise but inaccurate estimates of H0 based on gravitational lens time delays.

Day 1675

Thursday, Friday, Monday.

2003.04935
Cosmic discordance: Planck and luminosity distance at a exclude LCDM
Di Valentino, Melchiorri, Silk

We show that a combined analysis of CMB anisotropy power spectra obtained by the Planck satellite and luminosity distance data simultaneously excludes a flat universe and a cosmological constant at $99 \%$ C.L. These results hold separately when combining Planck with three different datasets: the two determinations of the Hubble constant from Riess et al. 2019 and Freedman et al. 2020, and the Pantheon catalog of high redshift supernovae type-Ia. We conclude that either LCDM needs to be replaced by a drastically different model, or else there are significant but still undetected systematics. Our result calls for new observations and stimulates the investigation of alternative theoretical models and solutions.

2003.05158

An all-photonics focal-plane wavefront sensor

Norris, et al

Adaptive optics (AO) is critical in modern astronomy, as well as in optical communications and remote sensing, to deal with the rapid blurring caused by the Earth's turbulent atmosphere. But even the best AO systems are limited by their wavefront sensors, which need to be in an optical plane non-common to the science image, unavoidably leading to errors that limit the reach of current astronomy. They are also insensitive to certain wavefront-error modes, and are poorly suited to injecting light into single-mode optical fibres, important for applications such as high-resolution spectroscopy of extra-solar planets. Here we present a new type of wavefront sensor based on a photonic lantern fibre-mode-converter and deep learning. This new wavefront sensor can be placed at the same focal plane as the science image, and is also optimal for single-mode fibre injection. By only measuring the intensities of an array of single-mode outputs, both phase and amplitude information on the incident wavefront can be reconstructed. We demonstrate the concept with both simulations and an experimental realisation of this novel wavefront sensor, wherein Zernike wavefront errors are recovered from focal-plane measurements to a precision of $2.6\times10^{-5}$ radians mean-squared-error.

2003.05467

Unresolved stellar companions with Gaia DR2 astrometry

Belokurov, et al

For stars with unresolved companions, motions of the centre of light and that of mass decouple, causing a single-source astrometric model to perform poorly. We show that such stars can be easily detected with the reduced chi2 statistic, or RUWE, provided as part of Gaia DR2. We convert RUWE into the amplitude of the image centroid wobble, which, if scaled by the source distance, is proportional to the physical separation between companions (for periods up to several years). We test this idea on a sample of known spectroscopic binaries and demonstrate that the amplitude of the centroid perturbation scales with the binary period and the mass ratio as expected. We apply this technique to the Gaia DR2 data and show how the binary fraction evolves across the Hertzsprung--Russell diagram. The observed incidence of unresolved companions is high for massive young stars and drops steadily with stellar mass, reaching its lowest levels for white dwarfs. We highlight the elevated binary fraction for the nearby Blue Stragglers and Blue Horizontal Branch stars. We also illustrate how unresolved hierarchical triples inflate the relative velocity signal in wide binaries. Finally, we point out a hint of evidence for the existence of additional companions to the hosts of extrasolar hot jupiters.

2003.05521

Predicting the vulnerability of spacecraft components: modeling debris impact effects through vulnerable-zones

Trisolini, et al

The space environment around the Earth is populated by more than 130 million objects of 1 mm in size and larger, and future predictions shows that this amount is destined to increase, even if mitigation measures are implemented at a far better rate than today. These objects can hit and damage a spacecraft or its components. It is thus necessary to assess the risk level for a satellite during its mission lifetime. Few software packages perform this analysis, and most of them employ time-consuming ray-tracing methodology, where particles are randomly sampled from relevant distributions. In addition, they tend not to consider the risk associated with the secondary debris clouds. The paper presents the development of a vulnerability assessment model, which relies on a fully statistical procedure: the debris fluxes are directly used combining them with the concept of the vulnerable zone, avoiding the random sampling the debris fluxes. A novel methodology is presented to predict damage to internal components. It models the interaction between the components and the secondary debris cloud through basic geometric operations, considering mutual shielding and shadowing between internal components. The methodologies are tested against state-of-the-art software for relevant test cases, comparing results on external structures and internal components.

2003.05978

Brighter-fatter effect in near-infrared detectors -- III. Fourier-domain treatment of flat field correlations and application to WFIRST

Freudenburg, et al

Weak gravitational lensing has emerged as a leading probe of the growth of cosmic structure. However, the shear signal is very small and accurate measurement depends critically on our ability to understand how non-ideal instrumental effects affect astronomical images. WFIRST will fly a focal plane containing 18 Teledyne H4RG-10 near infrared detector arrays, which present different instrument calibration challenges from previous weak lensing observations. Previous work has shown that correlation functions of flat field images are effective tools for disentangling linear and non-linear inter-pixel capacitance (IPC) and the brighter-fatter effect (BFE). Here we present a Fourier-domain treatment of the flat field correlations, which allows us to expand the previous formalism to all orders in IPC, BFE, and classical non-linearity. We show that biases in simulated flat field analyses in Paper I are greatly reduced through the use of this formalism. We then apply this updated formalism to flat field data from three WFIRST flight candidate detectors, and explore the robustness to variations in the analysis. We find that the BFE is present in all three detectors, and that its contribution to the flat field correlations dominates over the non-linear IPC. The magnitude of the BFE is such that the effective area of a pixel is increased by $(3.54\pm0.03)\times 10^{-7}$ for every electron deposited in a neighboring pixel. We compare IPC maps from flat field autocorrelation measurements to those obtained from the single pixel reset method and find a median difference of 0.113%. After further diagnosis of this difference, we ascribe it largely to an additional source of cross-talk, the vertical trailing pixel effect, and recommend further work to develop a model for this effect. These results represent a significant step toward calibration of the non-ideal effects in WFIRST detectors. 

2003.06245

The evolution of the star-forming interstellar medium across Cosmic Time

Tacconi, Genzel, Sternberg

Over the past decade increasingly robust estimates of the dense molecular gas content in galaxy populations between redshift 0 and the peak of cosmic galaxy/star formation from redshift 1-3 have become available. This rapid progress has been possible due to the advent of powerful ground-based, and space telescopes for combined study of several millimeter to far-IR, line or continuum tracers of the molecular gas and dust components. The main conclusions of this review are: 1. Star forming galaxies contained much more molecular gas at earlier cosmic epochs than at the present time. 2. The galaxy integrated depletion time scale for converting the gas into stars depends primarily on z or Hubble time, and at a given z, on the vertical location of a galaxy along the star-formation rate versus stellar mass "main-sequence" (MS) correlation. 3. Global rates of galaxy gas accretion primarily control the evolution of the cold molecular gas content and star formation rates of the dominant MS galaxy population, which in turn vary with the cosmological expansion. A second key driver may be global disk fragmentation in high-z, gas rich galaxies, which ties local free-fall time scales to galactic orbital times, and leads to rapid radial matter transport and bulge growth. Third, the low star formation efficiency inside molecular clouds is plausibly set by super-sonic streaming motions, and internal turbulence, which in turn may be driven by conversion of gravitational energy at high-z, and/or by local feedback from massive stars at low-z. 4. A simple 'gas regulator' model is remarkably successful in predicting the combined evolution of molecular gas fractions, star formation rates, galactic winds, and gas phase metallicities.

Day 1674

Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday.

2003.03116
Linking studies of tiny meteoroids, zodiacal dust, cometary dust and circumstellar disks
Levasseur-Regourd, et al

Tiny meteoroids entering the Earth's atmosphere and inducing meteor showers have long been thought to originate partly from cometary dust. Together with other dust particles, they form a huge cloud around the Sun, the zodiacal cloud. From our previous studies of the zodiacal light, as well as other independent methods (dynamical studies, infrared observations, data related to Earth's environment), it is now established that a significant fraction of dust particles entering the Earth's atmosphere comes from Jupiter-family comets (JFCs). This paper relies on our understanding of key properties of the zodiacal cloud and of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko, extensively studied by the Rosetta mission to a JFC. The interpretation, through numerical and experimental simulations of zodiacal light local polarimetric phase curves, has recently allowed us to establish that interplanetary dust is rich in absorbing organics and consists of fluffy particles. The ground-truth provided by Rosetta presently establishes that the cometary dust particles are rich in organic compounds and consist of quite fluffy and irregular aggregates. Our aims are as follows: (1) to make links, back in time, between peculiar micrometeorites, tiny meteoroids, interplanetary dust particles, cometary dust particles, and the early evolution of the Solar System, and (2) to show how detailed studies of such meteoroids and of cometary dust particles can improve the interpretation of observations of dust in protoplanetary and debris disks. Future modeling of dust in such disks should favor irregular porous particles instead of more conventional compact spherical particles.

2003.03381

Cosmological insights into the assembly of the radial and compact stellar halo of the Milky Way

Elias, et al

Recent studies using Gaia DR2 have identified a massive merger in the history of the Milky Way (MW) whose debris is markedly radial and counterrotating. This event, known as the Gaia-Enceladus/Gaia-Sausage (GE/GS), is also hypothesized to have built the majority of the inner stellar halo. We use the cosmological hydrodynamic simulation Illustris to place this merger in the context of galaxy assembly within $\Lambda$CDM. From $\sim$150 MW analogs, $\sim 80 \%$ have experienced at least one merger of similar mass and infall time as GE/GS. Within this sample, 37 have debris as radial as that of the GE/GS, which we dub the Ancient Radial Mergers (ARMs). Counterrotation is not rare among ARMs, with $43 \%$ having $>40 \%$ of their debris in counterrotating orbits. However, the compactness inferred for the GE/GS debris, given its large $\beta$ and its substantial contribution to the stellar halo, is more difficult to reproduce. The median radius of ARM debris is r$_{*,deb}\simeq 45$kpc, while GE/GS is thought to be mostly contained within $r\sim 30$ kpc. For most MW analogs, a few mergers are required to build the inner stellar halo, and ARM debris only accounts for $\sim 12 \%$ of inner accreted stars. Encouragingly, we find one ARM that is both compact and dominates the inner halo of its central, making it our best GE/GS analog. Interestingly, this merger deposits a significant number of stars (M$_*\simeq1.5 \times 10^9 M_\odot$) in the outer halo, suggesting that an undiscovered section of GE/GS may await detection.

2003.04318

Measuring the matter density of the Galactic disk using stellar streams

Widmark, et al

We present a novel method for determining the total matter surface density of the Galactic disk by analysing the kinematics of a dynamically cold stellar stream that passes through or close to the Galactic plane. The method relies on the fact that the vertical component of energy for such stream stars is approximately constant, such that their vertical positions and vertical velocities are interrelated via the matter density of the Galactic disk. By testing our method on mock data stellar streams, with realistic phase-space dispersions and Gaia uncertainties, we demonstrate that it is applicable to small streams out to a distance of a few kilo-parsec, and that the surface density of the disk can be determined to a precision of 6 %. This method is complementary to other mass measurements. In particular, it does not rely on any equilibrium assumption for stars in the Galactic disk, and also makes it possible to measure the surface density to good precision at large distances from the Sun. Such measurements would inform us of the matter composition of the Galactic disk and its spatial variation, place stronger constraints on dark disk sub-structure, and even diagnose possible non-equilibrium effects that bias other types of dynamical mass measurements.

2003.04336

Comparing focal plane wavefront control techniques:\\Numerical simulations and laboratory experiments

Potier, et al

Fewer than 1% of all exoplanets detected to date have been characterized on the basis of spectroscopic observations of their atmosphere. Unlike indirect methods, high-contrast imaging offers access to atmospheric signatures by separating the light of a faint off-axis source from that of its parent star. Forthcoming space facilities, such as WFIRST/LUVOIR/HabEX, are expected to use coronagraphic instruments capable of imaging and spectroscopy in order to understand the physical properties of remote worlds. The primary technological challenge that drives the design of these instruments involves the precision control of wavefront phase and amplitude errors. Several FPWS and control techniques have been proposed and demonstrated in laboratory to achieve the required accuracy. However, these techniques have never been tested and compared under the same laboratory conditions. This paper compares two of these techniques in a closed loop in visible light: the pair-wise (PW) associated with electric field conjugation (EFC) and self-coherent camera (SCC). We first ran numerical simulations to optimize PW wavefront sensing and to predict the performance of a coronagraphic instrument with PW associated to EFC wavefront control, assuming modeling errors for both PW and EFC. Then we implemented the techniques on a laboratory testbed. We introduced known aberrations into the system and compared the wavefront sensing using both PW and SCC. The speckle intensity in the coronagraphic image was then minimized using PW+EFC and SCC independently. We demonstrate that both SCC and PW+EFC can generate a dark hole in space-like conditions in a few iterations. Both techniques reach the current limitation of our laboratory bench and provide coronagraphic contrast levels of 5e-9 in a narrow spectral band (<0.25% bandwidth)

2003.04393

Revealing the dark threads of the Cosmic Web

Burchett, et al

Modern cosmology predicts that matter in our Universe has assembled today into a vast network of filamentary structures colloquially termed the Cosmic Web. Because this matter is either electromagnetically invisible (i.e., dark) or too diffuse to image in emission, tests of this cosmic web paradigm are limited. Wide-field surveys do reveal web-like structures in the galaxy distribution, but these luminous galaxies represent less than 10% of baryonic matter. Statistics of absorption by the intergalactic medium (IGM) via spectroscopy of distant quasars support the model yet have not conclusively tied the diffuse IGM to the web. Here, we report on a new method inspired by the Physarum polycephalum slime mold that is able to infer the density field of the Cosmic Web from galaxy surveys. Applying our technique to galaxy and absorption-line surveys of the local Universe, we demonstrate that the bulk of the IGM indeed resides in the Cosmic Web. From the outskirts of Cosmic Web filaments, at approximately the cosmic mean matter density (rho_m) and approx. 5 virial radii from nearby galaxies, we detect an increasing H I absorption signature towards higher densities and the circumgalactic medium, to approx. 200 rho_m. However, the absorption is suppressed within the densest environments, suggesting shock-heating and ionization deep within filaments and/or feedback processes within galaxies.

2003.04662

The intra-cluster light as a tracer of the total matter density distribution: a view from simulations

Asensio, et al

By using deep observations of clusters of galaxies, it has been recently found that the projected stellar mass density closely follows the projected total (dark and baryonic) mass density within the innermost ~140 kpc. In this work, we aim to test these observations using the Cluster-EAGLE simulations, comparing the projected densities inferred directly from the simulations. We compare the iso-density contours using the procedure of Montes \& Trujillo (2019), and find that the shape of the stellar mass distribution follows that of the total matter even more closely than observed, although their radial profiles differ substantially. The ratio between stellar and total matter density profiles in circular apertures, shows a slope close to -1, with a small dependence on the cluster's total mass. We propose an indirect method to calculate the halo mass and mass density profile from the radial profile of the intra-cluster stellar mass density.

2003.04800

Observational detection of correlation between galaxy spin and initial conditions

Motloch, et al

Galaxy spins can be predicted from the initial conditions in the early Universe through the tidal tensor twist. In simulations, their directions are well preserved through cosmic time, consistent with expectations of angular momentum conservation. We report a $\sim 3 \sigma$ detection of correlation between observed oriented directions of galaxy angular momenta and their predictions based on the initial density field reconstructed from the positions of SDSS galaxies. The detection is driven by a group of spiral galaxies classified by the Galaxy Zoo as (anti-)clockwise, with a modest improvement from adding galaxies from MaNGA and SAMI surveys. This is the first such detection of the oriented galaxy spin direction, which opens a way to use measurements of galaxy spins to probe fundamental physics in the early Universe.

2003.04864

Combining neutrino experimental light-curves for pointing to the next Galactic Core-Collapse Supernova

Coleiro, et al

The multi-messenger observation of the next galactic core-collapse supernova will shed light on the different physical processes involved in these energetic explosions. Good timing and pointing capabilities of neutrino detectors would help in the search for an electromagnetic or gravitational-wave counterparts. An approach for the determination of the arrival time delay of the neutrino signal at different experiments using a direct detected neutrino light-curve matching is discussed. A simplified supernova model and detector simulation are used for its application. The arrival time delay and its uncertainty between two neutrino detectors are estimated with chi-square and cross-correlation methods. The direct comparison of the detected light-curves offers the advantage to be model-independent. Millisecond time resolution on the arrival time delay at two different detectors is needed. Using the computed time delay between different combinations of currently operational and future detectors, a triangulation method is used to infer the supernova localisation in the sky. The combination of IceCube, Hyper-Kamiokande, JUNO and KM3NeT/ARCA provides a 90% confidence area of about 340 deg$^2$. These low-latency analysis methods can be implemented in the SNEWS alert system.

Day 1673

Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

2003.01119

Kraken reveals itself -- the merger history of the Milky Way reconstructed with the E-MOSAICS simulations

Kruijssen, et al

Globular clusters (GCs) formed when the Milky Way experienced a phase of rapid assembly. We use the wealth of information contained in the Galactic GC population to quantify the properties of the satellite galaxies from which the Milky Way assembled. To achieve this, we train an artificial neural network on the E-MOSAICS cosmological simulations of the co-formation and co-evolution of GCs and their host galaxies. The network uses the ages, metallicities, and orbital properties of GCs that formed in the same progenitor galaxies to predict the stellar masses and accretion redshifts of these progenitors. We apply the network to Galactic GCs associated with five progenitors: {\it Gaia}-Enceladus, the Helmi streams, Sequoia, Sagittarius, and the recently discovered, `low-energy' GCs, which provide an excellent match to the predicted properties of the enigmatic galaxy `Kraken'. The five galaxies cover a narrow stellar mass range [$M_\star=(0.6{-}4.6)\times10^8~{\rm M}_\odot$], but have widely different accretion redshifts ($z_{\rm acc}=0.57{-}2.65$). All accretion events represent minor mergers, but Kraken likely represents the most major merger ever experienced by the Milky Way, with stellar and virial mass ratios of $r_{M_\star}=1$:$31^{+34}_{-16}$ and $r_{M_{\rm h}}=1$:$7^{+4}_{-2}$, respectively. The progenitors match the $z=0$ relation between GC number and halo virial mass, but have elevated specific frequencies, suggesting an evolution with redshift. Even though these progenitors likely were the Milky Way's most massive accretion events, they contributed a total mass of only $\log{(M_{\rm \star,tot}/{\rm M}_\odot)}=9.0\pm0.1$, similar to the stellar halo. This implies that the Milky Way grew its stellar mass mostly by in-situ star formation. We conclude by organising these accretion events into the most detailed reconstruction to date of the Milky Way's merger tree.

2003.01734

SuperCLASS -- I. The Super Cluster Assisted Shear Survey: Project overview and Data Release 1

Battye, et al

The SuperCLuster Assisted Shear Survey (SuperCLASS) is a legacy programme using the e-MERLIN interferometric array. The aim is to observe the sky at L-band (1.4 GHz) to a r.m.s. of 7 uJy per beam over an area of ~1 square degree centred on the Abell 981 supercluster. The main scientific objectives of the project are: (i) to detect the effects of weak lensing in the radio in preparation for similar measurements with the Square Kilometre Array (SKA); (ii) an extinction free census of star formation and AGN activity out to z~1. In this paper we give an overview of the project including the science goals and multi-wavelength coverage before presenting the first data release. We have analysed around 400 hours of e-MERLIN data allowing us to create a Data Release 1 (DR1) mosaic of ~0.26 square degrees to the full depth. These observations have been supplemented with complementary radio observations from the Karl G. Jansky Very Large Array (VLA) and optical/near infra-red observations taken with the Subaru, Canada-France-Hawaii and Spitzer Telescopes. The main data product is a catalogue of 887 sources detected by the VLA, of which 395 are detected by e-MERLIN and 197 of these are resolved. We have investigated the size, flux and spectral index properties of these sources finding them compatible with previous studies. Preliminary photometric redshifts, and an assessment of galaxy shapes measured in the radio data, combined with a radio-optical cross-correlation technique probing cosmic shear in a supercluster environment, are presented in companion papers.

2003.01736

SuperCLASS -- III. Weak lensing from radio and optical observations in Data Release 1

Harrison, et al

We describe the first results on weak gravitational lensing from the SuperCLASS survey: the first survey specifically designed to measure the weak lensing effect in radio-wavelength data, both alone and in cross-correlation with optical data. We analyse 1.53 square degrees of optical data from the Subaru telescope and 0.26 square degrees of radio data from the e-MERLIN and VLA telescopes (the DR1 data set). Using standard methodologies on the optical data only we make a significant (10 sigma) detection of the weak lensing signal (a shear power spectrum) due to the massive supercluster of galaxies in the targeted region. For the radio data we develop a new method to measure the shapes of galaxies from the interferometric data, and we construct a simulation pipeline to validate this method. We then apply this analysis to our radio observations, treating the e-MERLIN and VLA data independently. We achieve source densities of 0.5 per square arcmin in the VLA data and 0.06 per square arcmin in the e-MERLIN data, numbers which prove too small to allow a detection of a weak lensing signal in either the radio data alone or in cross-correlation with the optical data. Finally, we show preliminary results from a visibility-plane combination of the data from e-MERLIN and VLA which will be used for the forthcoming full SuperCLASS data release. This approach to data combination is expected to enhance both the number density of weak lensing sources available and the fidelity with which their shapes can be measured.

2003.01992

On the impact of satellite constellations on astronomical observations with ESO telescopes i the visible and infrared domains

Hainaut, WIlliams

The effect of satellite constellations on observations in the visible and IR domains is estimated, considering 18 constellations in development by SpaceX, Amazon, OneWeb, and others, with over 26,000 satellites, constituting a representative distribution. This study uses a series of simplifications and assumptions to obtain conservative, order-of-magnitude estimates of the effects. The number of illuminated satellites from the constellations above the horizon ranges from ~1600 right after sunset, decreasing to 1100 at the end of astronomical twilight, most of them (~85%) close to the horizon (< 30deg). The large majority of these satellites will be too faint to be seen with the naked eye: at astronomical twilight, 110 brighter than mag 5. Most of them (~95%) will be close to the horizon. The number of naked-eye satellites plummets as the Sun reaches 30-40 deg below the horizon, depending on the latitude and season. The light trails caused by satellites would ruin a small fraction (below the 1% level) of exposures using narrow to normal field imaging or spectroscopic techniques in the visible and near IR during the first and last hours of the night. Similarly, the thermal emission of the satellite would affect only a negligible fraction of thermal IR observations. However, wide-field exposures, as well as long medium-field exposures,would be affected at the 3% level during the first and last hours of the night. Furthermore, ultra-wide imaging exposures on a very large telescope (eg NSF's Rubin Observatory, LSST), would be significantly affected, with 30 to 40% of such exposures being compromised during the first and last hours of the night. Coordination between the astronomical community, satellites companies, and government agencies is therefore critical to minimise and mitigate the effect on astronomical observations, in particular on survey telescopes.

2003.02669

Rapidly evolving transients from the Hyper Suprime-Cam SSP Transient Survey

Tampo, et al

Rapidly evolving transients form a new class of transients which show shorter timescales of the light curves than those of typical core-collapse and thermonuclear supernovae. We performed a systematic search for rapidly evolving transients using the deep data taken with the Hyper Suprime-Cam Subaru Strategic Program Transient Survey. By measuring the timescales of the light curves of 1824 transients, we identified 5 rapidly evolving transients. Our samples are found in a wide range of redshifts (0.3 $\le$ z $\le$ 1.5) and peak absolute magnitudes ($-$17 $\ge$ $M_i$ $\ge$ $-$20). The properties of the light curves are similar to those of the previously discovered rapidly evolving transients. They show a relatively blue spectral energy distribution, with the best-fit blackbody of 8,000 - 18,000 K. We show that some of the transients require power sources other than the radioactive decays of $^{56}$Ni because of their high peak luminosities and short timescales. The host galaxies of all the samples are star-forming galaxies, suggesting a massive star origin for the rapidly evolving transients. The event rate is roughly estimated to be $\sim$4,000 events yr$^{-1}$ Gpc$^{-3}$, which is about 1 $\%$ of core-collapse supernovae.

2003.02700

The halo model as a versatile tool to predict intrinsic alignments

Fortuna, Hoekstra, et al

Intrinsic alignments (IAs) of galaxies are an important contaminant for cosmic shear studies, but the modelling is complicated by the dependence of the signal on the source galaxy sample. In this paper, we use the halo model formalism to capture this diversity and examine its implications for a Stage III cosmic shear survey. We account for the different IA signatures at large and small scales as well for the different contribution from central/satellite and red/blue galaxies. We inform our model using the most recent observational findings: we include a luminosity dependence at both large and small scales and a radial dependence of the signal within the halo. We predict the impact of the total IA signal on the lensing angular power spectra, including the current uncertainties from the IA best-fits to illustrate the range of possible impact on the lensing signal: the lack of constraints for fainter galaxies is the main source of uncertainty for our predictions of the IA signal. We investigate how well the widely used non-linear alignment model can capture the complexity of the IA signal and find that while for Stage III surveys it is flexible enough, in the case of a Stage IV survey, this can lead to $1\sigma$ bias on $\Omega_m$.

Day 1672

Monday, Tuesday.

2002.12350

Coming of Age of the Standard Model

Blandford, Dunkley, Frenk, Lahav, Shapley

Cosmology now has a standard model - a remarkably simple description of the universe, its contents and its history. A symposium held last September in Cambridge, UK, gave this model a 'health check' and discussed fascinating questions that lie beyond it.

2002.12382

No evidence for Type Ia supernova luminosity evolution: evidence for dark energy is robust

Rose, Rubin, et al

Type Ia Supernovae (SNe Ia) are powerful standardized candles for constraining the cosmological model and provided the first evidence of accelerated expansion. Their precision derives from empirical correlations now measured from $>1000$ SNe Ia between their luminosities, light curve shapes, colors and most recently a modest relationship with the mass of their host galaxy. As mass correlates with other host properties, these have been investigated to improve SN Ia standardization though none have been shown to significantly alter the determination of cosmological parameters. We re-examine a recent claim, based on 34 SN Ia in nearby passive host galaxies, of a 0.05 mag/Gyr dependence of standardized SN Ia luminosity on host age which if extrapolate to higher redshifts, might accrue to 0.25 mag challenging the inference of dark energy. We reanalyze this sample of hosts using both the original method and a Bayesian Hierarchical Model and find after a fuller accounting of the errors the significance for a dependence on age to be $\leq2\sigma$ and $\sim1\sigma$ after removal of a single poorly-measured SN. To test the claim that a trend seen in old stellar populations can be applied to younger ages, we extend our analysis to a larger sample which includes young hosts. We find the residual dependence of host age (after all standardization typically employed for cosmological measurements) to be $0.0011\pm0.0018$ mag/Gyr ($0.6\sigma$) for 254 SNe Ia from the Pantheon sample, consistent with no trend and strongly ruling out the large but low significance trend claimed from the passive hosts.

2002.12533

First Constraints on compact dark matter from fast radio burst microstructure

Sammons, et al

Despite existing constraints it remains possible that up to $35\%$ of all dark matter is comprised of compact objects, such as the black holes in the 10-100\,M$_\odot$ range whose existence has been confirmed by LIGO. The strong gravitational lensing of transients such as FRBs and GRBs has been suggested as a more sensitive probe for compact dark matter than intensity fluctuations observed in microlensing experiments. Recently ASKAP has reported burst substructure down to $15\mu$s timescales in FRBs in the redshift range $0.3-0.5$. We investigate here the implications of this for the detectability of dark matter by FRBs. A sample size of $\sim 10^3$ localized FRBs is required to exclude the fraction of dark matter in compact objects in the 10-100M$_\odot$ range, residing in intercepted individual galaxy halos (with impact distances $\lesssim 50\,$kpc) along FRB sightlines, to less than 35$\%$ with 95$\%$ confidence. Approximately $10^2$ localised FRBs would be required to constrain dark matter to a similar level if it were distributed along $\gtrsim 1\,$Gpc-long FRB sightlines through the cosmic web. Conversely, existing constraints on the fraction of compact dark matter permit as many as 1 in $\approx 50$ of all $z \lesssim 0.4$ FRBs to exhibit micro-lensed burst structure. We further consider the constraints that recently observed high time resolution FRB pulse profiles place on dark matter substructure on yet smaller scales, through the cumulative effect of a large collection of tiny lenses on the pulse profile; we conclude that, even if present, their effect is likely not yet observed.

2002.12539

Spectropolarimetric analysis of FRB 181112 at microsecond resolution: implications for fast radio burst emission mechanism

Cho, et al

We have developed a new coherent dedispersion mode to study the emission of Fast Radio Bursts that trigger the voltage capture capability of the Australian SKA Pathfinder (ASKAP) interferometer. In principle the mode can probe emission timescales down to 3 ns with full polarimetric information preserved. Enabled by the new capability, here we present a spectropolarimetric analysis of FRB 181112 detected by ASKAP, localized to a galaxy at redshift 0.47. At microsecond time resolution the burst is resolved into four narrow pulses with a rise time of just $15 \mu$s for the brightest. The pulses have a diversity of morphology, but do not show evidence for temporal broadening by turbulent plasma along the line of sight, nor is there any evidence for periodicity in their arrival times. The pulses are highly polarized (up to 95%), with the polarization position angle varying both between and within pulses. The pulses have apparent rotation measures that vary by $15\pm 2\, {\rm rad \,m^{-2}}$ and apparent dispersion measures that vary by $0.041\pm 0.004\,{\rm pc\,cm^{-3}}$. Conversion between linear and circular polarization is observed across the brightest pulse. We conclude that the FRB 181112 pulses are most consistent with being a direct manifestation of the emission process or the result of propagation through a relativistic plasma close to the source. This demonstrates that our method, which facilitates high-time-resolution polarimetric observations of FRBs, can be used to study not only burst emission processes, but also a diversity of propagation effects present on the gigaparsec paths they traverse.

2002.12695

Optimising tomography for weak gravitational lensing surveys

Sipp, Schaefer, Reischke

The subject of this paper is optimisation of weak lensing tomography: We carry out numerical minimisation of a measure of total statistical error as a function of the redshifts of the tomographic bin edges by means of a Nelder-Mead-algorithm to optimise the sensitivity of weak lensing with respect to different optimisation targets. Working under the assumption of a Gaussian likelihood for the parameters of a $w$CDM-model and using Euclid's survey specifications, we show that optimisations are feasible and provide reductions of the statistical errors by up to a few 10%. Commonly, optimising tomography places bins at higher redshift than conventional binning. More importantly, we find that nearly saturated information content can be gained using few tomographic bins. This is crucial for photometric redshift surveys with large redshift errors. We consider a large range of targets for optimisation that can be computed from the parameter covariance (or equivalently, from the Fisher-matrix), and extend these studies to information entropy measures such as the Kullback-Leibler-divergence.

2002.12922

Building the largest spectroscopic sample of ultra-compact massive galaxies with the Kilo Degree Survey

Scognamiglio, et al

Ultra-compact massive galaxies UCMGs, i.e. galaxies with stellar masses $M_{*} > 8 \times 10^{10} M_{\odot}$ and effective radii $R_{e} < 1.5$ kpc, are very rare systems, in particular at low and intermediate redshifts. Their origin as well as their number density across cosmic time are still under scrutiny, especially because of the paucity of spectroscopically confirmed samples. We have started a systematic census of UCMG candidates within the ESO Kilo Degree Survey, together with a large spectroscopic follow-up campaign to build the largest possible sample of confirmed UCMGs. This is the third paper of the series and the second based on the spectroscopic follow-up program. Here, we present photometrical and structural parameters of 33 new candidates at redshifts $0.15 \lesssim z \lesssim 0.5$ and confirm 19 of them as UCMGs, based on their nominal spectroscopically inferred $M_{*}$ and $R_{e}$. This corresponds to a success rate of $\sim 58\%$, nicely consistent with our previous findings. The addition of these 19 newly confirmed objects, allows us to fully assess the systematics on the system selection, and finally reduce the number density uncertainties. Moreover, putting together the results from our current and past observational campaigns and some literature data, we build the largest sample of UCMGs ever collected, comprising 92 spectroscopically confirmed objects at $0.1 \lesssim z \lesssim 0.5$. This number raises to 116, allowing for a $3\sigma$ tolerance on the $M_{*}$ and $R_{e}$ thresholds for the UCMG definition. For all these galaxies we have estimated the velocity dispersion values at the effective radii which have been used to derive a preliminary mass-velocity dispersion correlation.

2003.01047

Blending and obscuration in weak lensing magnification

Gaztanaga, Schmidt, Schneider, Tyson

We test the impact of some systematic errors in weak lensing magnification measurements with the COSMOS 30-band photo-$z$ Survey flux limited to $i_{AB}<25.0$ using correlations of both source galaxy counts and fluxes. Systematic obscuration effects are measured by comparing counts and flux correlations. We use the ACS-HST catalogs to identify potential blending objects (close pairs) and perform the magnification analyses with and without blended objects. We find that blending effects start to be important ($\sim$ 0.04~mag obscuration) at angular scales smaller than 0.1 arcmin. Extinction and other systematic obscuration effects can be as large as 0.10~mag (U-band) but are typically smaller than 0.02~mag depending on the band. After applying these corrections, we measure a $3.9\sigma$ magnification signal that is consistent for both counts and flux magnification. The corresponding projected mass profiles of galaxies at redshift $z \simeq 0.6$ ($M_I \simeq -21$) is $\Sigma= 25\pm 6 M_{sun}h^3/pc^2$ at 0.1 Mpc/h, consistent with NFW type profile with $M_{200} \simeq 2 \times 10^{12} M_{sun} h/pc^2$. Tangential shear and flux-size magnification over the same lenses show similar mass profiles. We conclude that magnification from counts and fluxes using photometric redshifts has the potential to provide complementary weak lensing information in future wide field surveys once we carefully take into account systematic effects, such as obscuration and blending.