Day 1660

Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday.

2001.06009
Sausage & Mash: the dual origin of the Galactic thick disc and halo from the gas-rich Gaia-Enceladus-Sausage merger
Grand, et al

We analyse a set of cosmological magneto-hydrodynamic simulations of the formation of Milky Way-mass galaxies identified to have a prominent radially anisotropic stellar halo component similar to the so-called "Gaia Sausage" found in the Gaia data. We examine the effects of the progenitor of the Sausage (the Gaia-Enceladus-Sausage, GES) on the formation of major galactic components analogous to the Galactic thick disc and inner stellar halo. We find that the GES merger is likely to have been gas-rich and contribute 10-50$\%$ of gas to a merger-induced centrally concentrated starburst that results in the rapid formation of a compact, rotationally supported thick disc that occupies the typical chemical thick disc region of chemical abundance space. We find evidence that gas-rich mergers heated the proto-disc of the Galaxy, scattering stars onto less-circular orbits such that their rotation velocity and metallicity positively correlate, thus contributing an additional component that connects the Galactic thick disc to the inner stellar halo. We demonstrate that the level of kinematic heating of the proto-galaxy correlates with the kinematic state of the population before the merger, the progenitor mass and orbital eccentricity of the merger. Furthermore, we show that the mass and time of the merger can be accurately inferred from local stars on counter-rotating orbits.

2001.06015

On the absence of high-redshift AGNs: little growth in the supermassive black hole population at high redsfhits

Cowie, et al

We search for high-redshift (z>4.5) X-ray AGNs in the deep central (off-axis angle <5.7') region of the 7 Ms Chandra Deep Field-South X-ray image. We compile an initial candidate sample from direct X-ray detections. We then probe more deeply in the X-ray data by using pre-selected samples with high spatial resolution NIR/MIR (HST 1.6 micron and Spitzer 4.5 micron) and submillimeter (ALMA 850 micron) observations. The combination of the NIR/MIR and submillimeter pre-selections allows us to find X-ray sources with a wide range of dust properties and spectral energy distributions (SEDs). We use the SEDs from the optical to the submillimeter to determine if previous photometric redshifts were plausible. Only five possible z>5 X-ray AGNs are found, all of which might also lie at lower redshifts. If they do lie at high redshifts, then two are Compton-thick AGNs, and three are ALMA 850 micron sources. We find that (i) the number density of X-ray AGNs is dropping rapidly at high redshifts, (ii) the detected AGNs do not contribute significantly to the photoionization at z>5, and (iii) the measured X-ray light density over z=5-10 implies a very low black hole accretion density with very little growth in the black hole mass density in this redshift range.

2001.07182

Could quasar lensing time delays hint to cored dark matter haloes, instead of $H_0$ tension?

Blum, et al

The time delay measured between the images of gravitationally lensed quasars probes a combination of the angular diameter distance to the source-lens system and the mass density profile of the lens. Observational campaigns to measure such systems have reported a determination of the Hubble parameter $H_0$ that shows significant tension with independent determination based on the cosmic microwave background (CMB) and large scale structure (LSS). We show that lens mass models that exhibit a cored component, coexisting with a stellar cusp, probe a degenerate direction in the lens model parameter space, being an approximate mass sheet transformation. This family of lens models has not been considered by the cosmographic analyses. Once added to the model, the cosmographic error budget should become dependent on stellar kinematics uncertainties. We propose that a dark matter core coexisting with a stellar cusp could bring the lensing measurements of $H_0$ to accord with the CMB/LSS value.

2001.07367
Kinematic unrest of low mass galaxy groups
Gozaliasl, et al

In an effort to better understand the formation of galaxy groups, we examine the kinematics of a large sample of spectroscopically confirmed X-ray galaxy groups in the Cosmic Evolution Survey (COSMOS) with a high sampling of galaxy group members up to $z=1$. We compare our results with predictions from the cosmological hydrodynamical simulation of {\sc Horizon-AGN}. Using a phase-space analysis of dynamics of groups with halo masses of $M_{\mathrm{200c}}\sim 10^{12.6}-10^{14.50}M_\odot$, we show that the brightest group galaxies (BGG) in low mass galaxy groups ($M_{\mathrm{200c}}<2 \times 10^{13} M_\odot$) have larger proper motions relative to the group velocity dispersion than high mass groups. The dispersion in the ratio of the BGG proper velocity to the velocity dispersion of the group, $\sigma_{\mathrm{BGG}}/\sigma_{group}$, is on average $1.48 \pm 0.13$ for low mass groups and $1.01 \pm 0.09$ for high mass groups. A comparative analysis of the {\sc Horizon-AGN} simulation reveals a similar increase in the spread of peculiar velocities of BGGs with decreasing group mass, though consistency in the amplitude, shape, and mode of the BGG peculiar velocity distribution is only achieved for high mass groups. The groups hosting a BGG with a large peculiar velocity are more likely to be offset from the $L_x-\sigma_{v}$ relation; this is probably because the peculiar motion of the BGG is influenced by the accretion of new members.

2001.07700

Fundamental pane of BOSS galaxies: correlations with galaxy properties, density field and impact on RST measurements

Singh, Yu, Seljak

Fundamental plane of elliptical galaxies can be used to predict the intrinsic size of galaxies and has a number of plausible application to study cosmology and galaxy physics. We present a detailed analysis of the fundamental plane of the SDSS-III BOSS LOWZ and CMASS galaxies. For the standard fundamental plane, we find a strong redshift evolution for the mean residual and show that it is primarily driven by the redshift evolution of the surface brightness of the galaxies. After correcting for the redshift evolution, the FP residuals are strongly correlated with the galaxy properties and some observational systematics. We show that the variations in the FP between the central and satellite galaxies, that have been observed in the literature, can primarily be explained by the correlation of the FP with the galaxy luminosity. We also measure the cross correlations of the FP residuals with the galaxy density field. The amplitude of the cross correlations depends on the galaxy properties and environment with brighter and redder galaxies showing stronger correlation. In general, galaxies in denser environments (higher galaxy bias ) show stronger correlations. We also compare FP amplitude with the amplitudes of intrinsic alignments of galaxy shapes (IA), finding the two to be correlated. Finally, using the FP residuals we also study the impact of intrinsic alignments on the constraint of growth rate using redshift space distortions. We do not observe any significant trends in measurements of the growth rate $f$ as function of the amplitude of FP-density correlations, resulting in null detection of the effects of IA on the RSD measurements.

Day 1659

Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

2001.04471

Nonstationarity of AGN variability: the only way to go is down!

Caplar, Pena, Johnson, Greene

To gain insights into long-term Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) variability, we analyze an AGN sample from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) and compare their photometry with observations from the Hyper Suprime-Cam survey (HSC) observed $\langle 14.85 \rangle$ years after SDSS. On average, the AGN are fainter in HSC than SDSS. We demonstrate that the difference is not due to subtle differences in the SDSS versus HSC filters or photometry. The decrease in mean brightness is redshift dependent, consistent with expectations for a change that is a function of the rest-frame time separation between observations. At a given redshift, the mean decrease in brightness is stronger for more luminous AGN and for objects with longer time separation between measurements. The mean decrease in brightness with time violates the stationarity assumption often invoked in AGN variability studies. We demonstrate that the dependence on redshift and luminosity of measured mean brightness decrease is consistent with simple models of Eddington ratio variability in AGN on long (Myr, Gyr) timescales. We show how our results can be used to constrain the variability and demographic properties of AGN populations.

2001.04984
Dynamical structure of small bulges reveals their early formation in {\Lambda}CDM paradigm
Constantin, et al

The {\Lambda} cold dark matter ({\Lambda}CDM) paradigm of galaxy formation predicts that dense spheroidal stellar structures invariably grow at early cosmic time. These primordial spheroids evolve toward a virialized dynamical status as they finally become today's elliptical galaxies and large bulges at the center of disk galaxies. However, observations reveal that small bulges in spiral galaxies are common in the nearby universe. The prevailing belief that all small bulges form at later times from internal processes occurring in the disk represents a challenge for the {\Lambda}CDM scenario. Notably, the coevolution of bulges and central supermassive black holes (SMBHs) at early phases of galaxy evolution is also at stake. However, observations have so far not provided conclusive evidence against their possible early origin. Here, we report new observations of small bulges showing that they follow the mass-velocity dispersion relation expected for virialized systems. Contrary to previous claims, small bulges bridge the gap between massive ellipticals and globular clusters. This dynamical picture supports a scenario where systems over seven orders of magnitude in stellar mass form at early cosmic time. These results alleviate the tension between {\Lambda}CDM simulations and observations at galactic scales. We hypothesize that these small bulges are actually the low-mass descendants of compact objects observed at high redshift, also known as red nuggets, which are consistently produced in cosmological {\Lambda}CDM simulations. Therefore, this also suggests that the established coevolution of SMBHs and large bulges naturally extends to spheroids in the low-mass regime.

2001.05302

Testing tidal alignment models for anisotropic correlations of halo ellipticities with N-body simulations

Okumura, Taruya, Nishimichi

There is a growing interest of using the intrinsic alignment (IA) of galaxy images as a tool to extract cosmological information complimentary to galaxy clustering analysis. Recently, Okumura & Taruya derived useful formulas for the intrinsic ellipticity--ellipticity correlation, the gravitational shear--intrinsic ellipticity correlation, and the velocity--intrinsic ellipticity correlation functions based on the linear alignment (LA) model. In this paper, using large-volume $N$-body simulations, we measure these alignment statistics in real and redshift space and compare them to the LA and nonlinear alignment model predictions. We find that anisotropic features of baryon acoustic oscillations in the IA statistics can be accurately predicted by our models. The anisotropy due to redshift-space distortions (RSDs) is also well described in the large-scale limit. Our results indicate that one can extract the cosmological information encoded in the IA through the Alcock-Paczynski and RSD effects.

2001.05653

Constraints on the velocity dispersion of dark matter from cosmology and new bounds on scattering from the Cosmic Dawn

Rodríguez-Montoya, et al

The observational value of the velocity dispersion, $\Delta\upsilon$, is missing in the Dark Matter (DM) puzzle. Non-zero or non-thermal DM velocities can drastically influence Large Scale Structure and the 21-cm temperature at the epoch of the Cosmic Dawn, as well as the estimation of DM physical parameters, such as the mass and the interaction couplings. To study the phenomenology of $\Delta\upsilon$ we model the evolution of DM in terms of a simplistic and generic Boltzmann-like momentum distribution. Using cosmological data from the Cosmic Microwave Background, Baryonic Acoustic Oscillations, and Red Luminous Galaxies, we constrain the DM velocity dispersion for a broad range of masses $10^{-3} eV < m_\chi < 10^9 eV$, finding $\Delta\upsilon_0 \lesssim$ 0.33 km/s (99% CL). Including the EDGES $T_{21}$-measurements, we extend our study to constrain the baryon-DM interaction in the range of DM velocities allowed by our analysis. As a consequence, we present new bounds on two electromagnetic models of DM, namely minicharged particles (MCPs) and electric dipole moment (EDM). For MCPs, the parameter region that is consistent with EDGES and independent bounds on cosmological and stellar physics is very small, pointing to the sub-eV mass regime of DM. A window in the MeV-GeV may still be compatible with these bounds for MCP models without a hidden photon. But the EDM parameter region consistent with EDGES is excluded by Big-Bang Nucleosynthesis and Collider Physics.

2001.05702

The statistics of peaks of weakly non-Gaussian random fields: effects of bispectrum in two- and three-dimensions

Matsubara

Analytic expressions for the statistics of peaks of random fields with weak non-Gaussianity are provided. Specifically, the abundance and spatial correlation of peaks are represented by formulas which can be evaluated only by virtually one-dimensional integrals. We assume the non-Gaussianity is weak enough such that it is represented by linear terms of the bispectrum. The formulas are formally given in $N$-dimensional space, and explicitly given in the case of $N=1,2,3$. Some examples of peak statistics in cosmological fields are calculated for the cosmic density field and weak lensing field, assuming the weak non-Gaussianity is induced by gravity. The formulas of this paper would find a fit in many applications to statistical analyses of cosmological fields.

2001.05822

Solar System objects observed with TESS -- first data release: bright main-belt and Trojan asteroids from the Southern Survey

Pál, et al

Compared with previous space-borne surveys, the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) provides a unique and new approach to observe Solar System objects. While its primary mission avoids the vicinity of the ecliptic plane by approximately six degrees, the scale height of the Solar System debris disk is large enough to place various small body populations in the field-of-view. In this paper we present the first data release of photometric analysis of TESS observations of small Solar System Bodies, focusing on the bright end of the observed main-belt asteroid and Jovian Trojan populations. This data release, named TSSYS-DR1, contains 9912 light curves obtained and extracted in a homogeneous manner, and triples the number of bodies with unambiguous fundamental rotation characteristics, namely where accurate periods and amplitudes are both reported. Our catalogue clearly shows that the number of bodies with long rotation periods are definitely underestimated by all previous ground-based surveys, by at least an order of magnitude.

2001.05962

Improving geometric and dynamical constraints on cosmology with intrinsic alignments of galaxies

Taruya, Okumura

We show that the spatial correlation of the intrinsic alignments (IAs) of galaxies, measured in galaxy redshift surveys, offers a precision route to improve the geometrical and dynamical constraints on cosmology. The IA has been treated as a contaminant against cosmological probes such as weak gravitational lensing experiments, but the large-scale correlation of IAs is expected to follow the coherent large-scale matter inhomogeneities. In particular, the statistics of IA inherently possess anisotropic nature, and in combination with the conventional galaxy clustering statistics, the large-scale IA correlations help to improve the measurements of the geometric distances and growth of structure. Here, we quantify the potential power of IA, and show that with their improved measurements, the constraints on equation-of-state parameter for dark energy and Hubble parameter can be tighter than those from the clustering statistics alone by a factor of more than 1.5.

Day 1658

Friday, Monday, Tuesday.

2001.02780
Large scale structure reconstruction with short-wavelength modes
Li, Dodelson, Croft

Large scale density modes are difficult to measure because they are sensitive to systematic observational errors in galaxy surveys but we can study them indirectly by observing their impact on small scale perturbations. Cosmological perturbation theory predicts that second-order density inhomogeneities are a convolution of a short- and a long-wavelength mode. This arises physically because small scale structures grow at different rates depending on the large scale environment in which they reside. This induces an off-diagonal term in the two-point statistics in Fourier space that we use as the basis for a quadratic estimator for the large scale field. We demonstrate that this quadratic estimator works well on an N-body simulation of size (2.5 h^{-1} Gpc)^3. In particular, the quadratic estimator successfully reconstructs the long-wavelength modes using only small-scale information. This opens up novel opportunities to study structure on the largest observable scales.

2001.03223

Investigation of deferred charge effects in LSST ITL sensors

Snyder, Roodman

The traditional characterization of charge transfer inefficiency (CTI) in charge-coupled devices (CCDs) can suffer from a number of deficiencies: CTI is often only calculated for a limited number of signal levels, CTI is calculated from a limited number of pixels, and the sources of CTI are usually assumed to occur at every pixel-to-pixel transfer. A number of serial CTI effects have been identified during preliminary testing of CCDs developed by Imaging Technology Laboratory (ITL) for use in the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) camera focal plane that motivate additional study beyond the traditional CTI characterization. This study describes a more detailed examination of the serial deferred charge effects in order to fully characterize the deferred charge measured in the serial overscan pixels of these sensors. The results indicate that in addition to proportional CTI loss that occurs at each pixel transfer, ITL CCDs have additional contributions to the deferred charge measured in serial overscan pixels, likely caused by fixed CTI loss due to charge trapping, and an electronic offset drift at high signal.

2001.03987

Calibration of ground based survey data using Gaia: application to DES

George, et al

The calibration of ground based optical imaging data to photometric accuracy of 10 mmag over the full survey area and to color uniformity better than 5 mmag on the scale of the VIS focal plane is a key science requirement for the Euclid mission. These accuracies enable stable photometric redshifts of galaxies and modeling of the color dependent VIS PSF for weak lensing studies. We use the Gaia photometry to calibrate the $g/r/i/z$ magnitudes of Dark Energy Survey (DES) data to meet the stringent Euclid requirements. The Gaia G band magnitude along with the BP-RP color information of stars observed in the DES single epoch (SE) exposures are used to derive the transformation from Gaia to DES photometry for individual CCDs and to characterize persistent photometric errors across the DECam focal plane. We use the color dependence of these persistent errors to characterize the $g/r/i/z$ bandpass variations across the DECam focal plane.

Day 1657

Happy 2020.  Wednesday, Friday, Monday, Wednesday, Thursday.

2001.01728
The low-surface-brightness Universe: a new frontier in the study of galaxy evolution
Kaviraj

New and forthcoming deep-wide surveys, from instruments like the HSC, LSST and EUCLID, are poised to revolutionize our understanding of galaxy evolution, by revealing aspects of galaxies that are largely invisible in past wide-area datasets. These surveys will open up the realm of low-surface-brightness (LSB) and dwarf galaxies -- which dominate the galaxy number density -- for the first time at cosmological distances. They will also reveal key, unexplored LSB structures which strongly constrain our structure-formation paradigm, such as merger-induced tidal features and intra-cluster light. However, exploitation of these revolutionary new datasets will require us to address several data-analysis challenges. Data-processing pipelines will have to preserve LSB structures, which are susceptible to sky over-subtraction. Analysis of the prodigious data volumes will require machine-learning (in particular unsupervised techniques), to augment or even replace traditional methods. Cosmological simulations, which are essential for a statistical understanding of the physics of galaxy evolution, will require mass and spatial resolutions that are high enough to resolve LSB/dwarf galaxies and LSB structures. And finally, estimation of physical properties (e.g. stellar masses and star formation rates) will require reliable redshift information. Since it is unlikely that even next-generation spectrographs will provide complete spectral coverage in the LSB/dwarf regime outside the nearby Universe, photometric redshifts may drive the science from these datasets. It is necessary, therefore, that the accuracy of these redshifts is good enough (e.g. < 10 per cent) to enable statistical studies in the LSB/dwarf regime. I outline the tremendous discovery potential of new/forthcoming deep-wide surveys and describe techniques which will enable us to solve the data-analysis challenges outlined above. (Abridged)

2001.01746
The orbital histories of Magellanic Satellites using Gaia DR2 proper motions
Patel, Kallivayalil, et al

With the release of Gaia DR2, it is now possible to measure the proper motions (PMs) of the lowest mass, ultra-faint satellites in the Milky Way's (MW) halo for the first time. Many of these faint satellites are posited to have been accreted as satellites of the Magellanic Clouds (MCs). Using their 6D phase space information, we calculate the orbital histories of 13 ultra-faint satellites and five classical satellites in a combined MW+LMC+SMC potential to determine which galaxies are dynamically associated with the LMC/SMC. We identify three classes of galaxies that have recently interacted with the MCs: i.) MW satellites on high-speed orbits that made a close approach ($< 100$ kpc) to the MCs $< 1$ Gyr ago (Sculptor 1, Tucana 3, Segue 1); ii.) short-term Magellanic satellites that have completed one recent, close pericentric passage (Reticulum 2, Phoenix 2); and iii.) long-term Magellanic satellites that have completed two consecutive recent, close passages (Carina 2, Carina 3, Horologium 1, Hydrus 1). Results are reported for a range of MW and LMC masses. Contrary to previous work, we find no dynamical association between Carina, Fornax, and the MCs. We find that Aquarius 2, Canes Venatici 2, Crater 2, Draco 1, Draco 2, Hydra 2, and Ursa Minor are not members of the Magellanic system. Finally, we determine that the addition of the SMC's gravitational potential affects the longevity of satellites as members of the Magellanic system (short-term versus long-term satellites), but it does not change the total population of Magellanic satellites.

2001.01810

The WAGGS project -- III. Discrepant mass-to-light ratios of Galactic globular clusters at high metallicity

Dalgleish, et al

Observed mass-to-light ratios (M/L) of metal-rich globular clusters (GCs) disagree with theoretical predictions. This discrepancy is of fundamental importance since stellar population models provide the stellar masses that underpin most of extragalactic astronomy, near and far. We have derived radial velocities for 1,622 stars located in the centres of 59 Milky Way GCs - twelve of which have no previous kinematic information - using integral-field unit data from the WAGGS project. Using N-body models, we then determine dynamical masses and M/L ratios for the studied clusters. Our sample includes NGC 6528 and NGC 6553, which extend the metallicity range of GCs with measured M/L up to [Fe/H] ~ -0.1 dex. We find that metal-rich clusters have M/L more than two times lower than what is predicted by simple stellar population models. This confirms that the discrepant M/L-[Fe/H] relation remains a serious concern. We explore how our findings relate to previous observations, and the potential causes for the divergence, which we conclude is most likely due to dynamical effects.

Day 1656

Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Monday.

1912.09481
A synthetic WFIRST high-latitude imaging survey: simulation suite and the impact of wavefronts errors on weak gravitational lensing
Troxel, et al

The Wide-Field InfraRed Survey Telescope (WFIRST) mission is expected to launch in the mid-2020s. Its weak lensing program is designed to enable unprecedented systematics control in photometric measurements, including shear recovery, point-spread function (PSF) correction, and photometric calibration. This will enable exquisite weak lensing science and allow us to adjust to and reliably contribute to the cosmological landscape after the initial years of observations from other concurrent Stage IV dark energy experiments. This potential requires equally careful planning and requirements validation as the mission prepares to enter its construction phase. We present a suite of image simulations based on GalSim that are used to construct a complex, synthetic WFIRST weak lensing survey that incorporates realistic input galaxies and stars, relevant detector non-idealities, and the current reference five-year WFIRST survey strategy. We present a first study to empirically validate the existing WFIRST weak lensing requirements flowdown using a suite of 12 matched image simulations, each representing a different perturbation to the wavefront or image motion model. These are chosen to induce a range of potential static and low- and high-frequency time-dependent PSF model errors. We analyze the measured shapes of galaxies from each of these simulations and compare them to a reference, fiducial simulation to infer the response of the shape measurement to each of these modes in the wavefront model. We then compare this to existing analytic flowdown requirements, and find general agreement between the empirically derived response and that predicted by the analytic model.

1912.11647

The impact of filamentary accretion of sub haloes on the shape and orientation of haloes

Morinaga, Ishiyama

Dark matter haloes are formed through hierarchical mergers of smaller haloes in large-scale cosmic environments, and thus anisotropic subhalo accretion through cosmic filaments have some impacts on halo structures. Recent studies using cosmological simulations have shown that the orientations of haloes correlate with the direction of cosmic filaments, and these correlations significantly depend on the halo mass. Using high-resolution cosmological $N$-body simulations, we quantified the strength of filamentary subhalo accretion for galaxy- and group-sized host haloes ($M_{\rm host}=5\times10^{11-13}M_{\odot}$) by regarding the entry points of subhaloes as filaments and present statistical studies that how the shape and orientation of host haloes at redshift zero correlate with the strength of filamentary subhalo accretion. We confirm previous studies that found the host halo mass dependence of the alignment between orientations of haloes and filaments. We also show that, for the first time, the shape and orientation of haloes weakly correlate with the strength of filamentary subhalo accretion even if the halo masses are the same. Minor-to-major axis ratios of haloes tend to decrease as their filamentary accretion gets stronger. Haloes with highly anisotropic accretion become more spherical or oblate, while haloes with isotropic accretion become more prolate or triaxial. For haloes with strong filamentary accretion, their major axes are preferentially aligned with the filaments, while their angular momentum vectors tend to be slightly more misaligned.

1912.11935
Secular extragalactic parallax: measurement methods and predictions for Gaia
Paine, et al

Secular extragalactic parallax caused by the solar system's velocity relative to the cosmic microwave background rest frame may be observable as a dipole proper motion field with amplitude $78~\mu$as yr$^{-1}$ Mpc. Nearby galaxies also exhibit proper motions caused by their transverse peculiar velocities that prevent detection of secular parallax for any single galaxy, although a statistical detection may be made instead. Such a detection could constrain the local Hubble parameter. We present methods to measure secular parallax using correlated extragalactic proper motions and find a first limit on the secular parallax amplitude using proper motions of 232 nearby galaxies from Gaia Data Release 2. The recovered dipole has insignificant upper limit of 3500 $\mu$as yr$^{-1}$ Mpc. This measurement will be improved by larger sample size and reduced proper motion uncertainties in future data releases. Using the local peculiar velocity field derived from Cosmicflows-3, we simulate galaxy proper motions and predict that a significant detection ($5-10\sigma$) of the secular parallax amplitude will be possible by Gaia's end of mission. The detection is contingent on proper motions of nearby ($<5$ Mpc), bright ($G<15$ mag) galaxies, and corresponds to an insignificant upper limit on the Hubble parameter. We further investigate the implications of our simulations for the study of transverse peculiar velocities, which we find to be consistent with large scale structure theory. The peculiar velocity field additionally results in low-multipole correlated proper motions on the order of $0.3~\mu$as yr$^{-1}$ that may be confounded with other cosmological proper motion measurements, such as limits on the gravitational wave background and the anisotropy of the Hubble expansion.

1912.12269

Calculation of distances in cosmological models with small-scale inhomogeneities and their use in observational cosmology: a review

Helbig

The Universe is not completely homogeneous. Even if it is sufficiently so on large scales, it is very inhomogeneous at small scales, and this has an effect on light propagation, so that the distance as a function of redshift, which in many cases is defined via light propagation, can differ from the homogeneous case. Simple models can take this into account. I review the history of this idea, its generalization to a wide variety of cosmological models, analytic solutions of simple models, comparison of such solutions with exact solutions and numerical simulations, applications, simpler analytic approximations to the distance equations, and (for all of these aspects) the related concept of a "Swiss-cheese" universe.

1912.12278

Modified initial power spectrum and too big to fail problem

Kameli, Baghram

The galactic scale challenges of dark matter such as "missing satellite" problem and "too big to fail" problem is one of the main caveats of standard model of cosmology. These challenges can be solved either by implementing the complicated baryonic physics or it could be an indication to a new physics beyond the standard model of cosmology. The modification of collision less dark matter models or modification of standard initial conditions are two promising venues for study. In this work, we investigate the effects of the deviations from scale invariant initial curvature power spectrum on number density of dark matter halos. In this work we develop the non-Markov extension of the excursion set theory to address the number density count of dark matter substructures and dark matter halo progenitor mass distribution. We show that the plausible solution to "too big to fail" problem could obtain by a Gaussian excess in initial power in the scales of $k_* \sim 3 h/Mpc$ which is related to the mass scale of $M_* \sim 10^{11} M_{\odot}$. We show that this deviation is consistent with the current status of the non-linear power spectrum. Our proposal also has a prediction that the number density of Milky way type galaxies must be higher than the standard case.

Day 1655

Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

1912.08027
TDCOSMO. I. An exploration of systematic uncertainties in the inference of $H_0$ from time-delay cosmography
Millon, et al

Time-delay cosmography of lensed quasars has achieved 2.4% precision on the measurement of the Hubble Constant, $H_0$. As part of an ongoing effort to uncover and control systematic uncertainties, we investigate three potential sources: 1- stellar kinematics, 2- line-of-sight effects, 3- deflector mass model. To meet this goal in a quantitative way, we mimic closely the H0LiCOW/SHARP/STRIDES procedures (i.e., TDCOSMO), and we find the following. First, stellar kinematics cannot be a dominant source of error or bias given current uncertainties. Second, we find no bias arising from incorrect estimation of the line-of-sight effects. Third, we show that elliptical composite (stars + dark matter halo), power-law, and cored power-law mass profiles have the flexibility to yield a broad range in $H_0$ values. However, the TDCOSMO procedures to model the data with both composite and power-law mass profiles are informative. If the models agree, as we observe in real systems owing to the "bulge-halo" conspiracy, $H_0$ is recovered precisely by both models. If the two models disagreed, as in the case of some pathological models illustrated here, the TDCOSMO procedure would either be able to discriminate between them through the goodness of fit, or account for the discrepancy in the final error bars provided by the analysis. This conclusion is consistent with a reanalysis of the TDCOSMO (real) lenses: the composite model yields $H_0=74.2^{+1.6}_{-1.6}$ ${\, \mathrm{km}\, \mathrm{s}^{-1}\, \mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}}$, while the power-law model yields $74.0^{+1.7}_{-1.8}$ ${\, \mathrm{km}\, \mathrm{s}^{-1}\, \mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}}$. In conclusion, we find no evidence of bias or errors larger than the current statistical uncertainties reported by TDCOSMO.

1912.08210

Morphological star-galaxy separation

Slater, Ivezic, Lupton

We discuss the statistical foundations of morphological star-galaxy separation. We show that many of the star-galaxy separation metrics in common use today (e.g. by SDSS or SExtractor) are closely related both to each other, and to the model odds ratio derived in a Bayesian framework by Sebok (1979). While the scaling of these algorithms with the noise properties of the sources varies, these differences do not strongly differentiate their performance. We construct a model of the performance of a star-galaxy separator in a realistic survey to understand the impact of observational signal-to-noise ratio (or equivalently, 5-sigma limiting depth) and seeing on classification performance. The model quantitatively demonstrates that, assuming realistic densities and angular sizes of stars and galaxies, 10% worse seeing can be compensated for by approximately 0.4 magnitudes deeper data to achieve the same star-galaxy classification performance. We discuss how to probabilistically combine multiple measurements, either of the same type (e.g., subsequent exposures), or differing types (e.g., multiple bandpasses), or differing methodologies (e.g., morphological and color-based classification). These methods are increasingly important for observations at faint magnitudes, where the rapidly rising number density of small galaxies makes star-galaxy classification a challenging problem. However, because of the significant role that the signal-to-noise ratio plays in resolving small galaxies, surveys with large-aperture telescopes, such as LSST, will continue to see improving star-galaxy separation as they push to these fainter magnitudes.

1912.08287
The impact of the environment of White Dwarf mergers on fast radio bursts
Kundu, Ferrario

Fast radio bursts (FRBs) are transient intense radio pulses with duration of milliseconds. Although the first FRB was detected more than a decade ago, the progenitors of these energetic events are not yet known. The currently preferred formation channel involves the formation of a neutron star (NS)/magnetar. While these objects are often the end product of the core-collapse (CC) explosion of massive stars, they could also be the outcome of the merging of two massive white dwarfs. In the merger scenario the ejected material interacts with a constant-density circumbinary medium and creates supersonic shocks. We found that when a radio pulse passes through these shocks the dispersion measure (DM) increases with time during the free expansion phase. The rotation measure (RM) displays a similar trend if the power-law index, $n$, of the outer part of the ejecta is $>6$. For $n = 6$ the RM remains constant during this phase. Later, when the ejecta move into the Sedov-Taylor phase while the DM still increases, however, with a different rate, the RM reduces. This behaviour is somewhat similar to that of FRB 121102 for which a marginal increase of DM and a 10% decrease of RM have been observed over time. These features are in contrast to the CC scenario, where the DM and RM contributions to the radio signal always diminish with time.

1912.08331

Astrometric errors introduced by inter pixel capacitive coupling in Hybridized Arrays

Donlon, et al

Interpixel capacitance (IPC) between adjacent pixels in hybridized arrays gives rise to an electrostatic cross talk. This cross talk causes MTF degradation and blurring of images or spectra collected using these devices. As pixel size is driven down from the 18 micron pixel pitch of the H2RG read out circuits to the 10 or 15 micron H4RGs IPC is driven up resulting in greater cross talk, all else being equal. Mounting evidence indicates that IPC varies as a function of depletion state of the photo-active diodes. For single pixel events, increasing the event intensity corresponds to a decreasing fractional coupling. If left uncorrected, IPC can give rise to systematic errors in precision astrometric and photometric measurements, in particular when dealing with confused point sources or spatially extended structures for shape measurements as demonstrated through comparison of registered sources from ESO HAWK-I and HST ACS WFC datasets. Furthermore these errors will be the most significant when operating near the sensitivity limit of these devices. Deconvolution based correction methods are invalidated by this same signal dependence. Instead a numerical method of successive approximation can be used to correct coupling due to a well characterized IPC. Examination of single pixel reset data above flat fields could be used to characterize IPC's functional relationship for neighboring pixels. This higher quality characterization can result in more accurate correction.

Day 1654

Friday, Monday, Tuesday.

1912.06601
Lensing-like tensions in the Planck legacy releaase
Motloch, Hu

We analyze the final release of the Planck satellite data to constrain the gravitational lensing potential in a model-independent manner. The amount of lensing determined from the smoothing of the acoustic peaks in the temperature and polarization power spectra is 2$\sigma$ too high when compared with the measurements using the lensing reconstruction and 2.8$\sigma$ too high when compared with $\Lambda$CDM expectation based on the "unlensed" portion of the temperature and polarization power spectra. The largest change from the previous data release is the $\Lambda$CDM expectation, driven by improved constraints to the optical depth to reionization. The anomaly still is inconsistent with actual gravitational lensing, given that the lensing reconstruction constraints are discrepant independent of the model. Within the context of $\Lambda$CDM, improvements in its parameter constraints from lensing reconstruction brings this tension to 2.1$\sigma$ and from further adding baryon acoustic oscillation and Pantheon supernova data to a marginally higher 2.2$\sigma$. Once these other measurements are included, marginalizing this lensing-like anomaly cannot substantially resolve tensions with low-redshift measurements of $H_0$ and $S_8$ in $\Lambda$CDM, $\Lambda$CDM+$N_\mathrm{eff}$ or $\Lambda$CDM+$\sum m_\nu$; furthermore the artificial strengthening of constraints on $\sum m_\nu$ is less than 20%.

Day 1653

Wednesday, Thursday.

1912.04880
Quantifying concordance of correlated cosmological data
Raveri, et al

We develop estimators of agreement and disagreement between correlated cosmological data sets. These account for data correlations when computing the significance of both tensions and excess confirmation while remaining statistically optimal. We discuss and thoroughly characterize different approaches commenting on the ones that have the best behavior in practical applications. We complement the calculation of their statistical distribution within the Gaussian model with one estimator that takes non-Gaussianities fully into account. To illustrate the use of our techniques, we apply these estimators to supernovae measurements of the distance-redshift relation, absolutely calibrated by the local distance ladder. The suite of best estimators that we discuss finds results that are in excellent agreement between estimators and find no indications of significant internal inconsistencies in this data set above the $1\%$ probability threshold. This shows the robustness of local determinations of the Hubble constant to features in the distance-redshift relation.

Day 1652

Monday, Tuesday.

1912.03494
An observationally constrained analytical model for predicting the magnetic field vectors of IMCEs at 1AU
Sarkar, et al

We report on an observationally constrained analytical model, the INterplanetary Flux ROpe Simulator (INFROS), for predicting the magnetic-field vectors of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the interplanetary medium. The main architecture of INFROS involves using the near-Sun flux rope properties obtained from the observational parameters that are evolved through the model in order to estimate the magnetic field vectors of interplanetary CMEs (ICMEs) at any heliocentric distance. We have formulated a new approach in INFROS to incorporate the expanding nature and the time-varying axial magnetic field-strength of the flux rope during its passage over the spacecraft. As a proof of concept, we present the case study of an Earth-impacting CME which occurred on 2013 April 11. Using the near-Sun properties of the CME flux rope, we have estimated the magnetic vectors of the ICME as intersected by the spacecraft at 1 AU. The predicted magnetic field profiles of the ICME show good agreement with those observed by the in-situ spacecraft. Importantly, the maximum strength (10.5 $\pm$ 2.5 nT) of the southward component of the magnetic field (Bz) obtained from the model prediction, is in agreement with the observed value (11 nT). Although our model does not include the prediction of the ICME plasma parameters, as a first order approximation it shows promising results in forecasting of Bz in near real time which is critical for predicting the severity of the associated geomagnetic storms. This could prove to be a simple space-weather forecasting tool compared to the time-consuming and computationally expensive MHD models.

Day 1651

Monday.  Tuesday.  Wednesday.  Thursday.  Friday.

1912.02200
Constraining Galactic structure with the LISA white dwarf foreground
Breivik, et al

White dwarfs comprise 95% of all stellar remnants, and are thus an excellent tracer of old stellar populations in the Milky Way. Current and planned telescopes are not able to directly probe the white dwarf population in its entirety due to its inherently low luminosity. However, the Galactic population of double white dwarf binaries gives rise to a millihertz gravitational-wave foreground detectable by the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). Here we show how characterizing this foreground's angular power spectrum will enable us to probe the Galactic structure in a novel way and measure the vertical scale height of the Galaxy's oldest stellar populations. We do this using a binary population synthesis study that incorporates different Galactic spatial distributions for the double white dwarf population. We find that the level of anisotropy in the white dwarf foreground's angular power spectrum is strongly dependent on the vertical scale height of the population. Finally, we show that LISA can probe the vertical scale height of the Galactic double white dwarf population with an accuracy of 50 pc-200pc, depending on angular resolution limits, using the angular power spectrum of the white dwarf foreground.