Day 1646

Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday.

1911.02581

Systematic errors in strong gravitational lensing reconstruction, a numerical simulation perspective

Enzi, et al

We present the analysis of a sample of twenty-four galaxy-galaxy strong gravitational lens systems with a background source and deflectors from the Illustris-1 simulation. We create mock lensing observations with a data quality comparable to known samples such as the SLACS lenses, to study the degeneracy between the complex mass distribution of the lenses, subhaloes, the surface brightness distribution of the sources, and the time delays. Using a novel inference framework based on Approximate Bayesian Computation, we find that for all the considered lens systems, an elliptical and cored power-law mass density distribution provides a good fit to the data. However, due to the presence of unphysical cores in the simulated lenses, most reconstructions are affected by some form of the Source Position Transformation. The latter leads to a systematic underestimation of the source sizes by 50 per cent on average, and an underestimation of the time delays by up to 53 per cent. On the other hand, we find no degeneracy between complexity in the lensing potential and the inferred amount of substructure. We recover an average total projected mass fraction in subhaloes of $f_{\rm sub}<1.7-2.0\times10^{-3}$ at the 68 per cent confidence level which is consistent with zero and in agreement with the fact that all subhaloes had been removed from the simulation. Our work highlights the need for even higher-resolution simulations to quantify the lensing effect of more realistic galactic potentials better. Finally, our results confirm that additional observational constraints may be required to break existing degeneracies.

1911.02610

Limitations to the "basic" HOD model and beyond

Hadzhiyska, et al

We make use of the IllustrisTNG cosmological, hydrodynamical simulations to test fundamental assumptions of the mass-based Halo Occupation Distribution (HOD) approach to modelling the galaxy-halo connection. By comparing the clustering of galaxies measured in the 300 Mpc TNG box (TNG300) with that predicted by the standard ("basic") HOD model (bHOD), we find that, on average, the bHOD model underpredicts the real-space correlation function in the TNG300 box by $\sim$ 15\% on scales of $1 \ {\rm Mpc}/h < r < 20 \ {\rm Mpc}/h$, which is well beyond the target precision demanded of next-generation galaxy redshift surveys. We perform several tests to establish the robustness of our findings to systematic effects, including the effect of finite box size and the choice of halo finder. In our exploration of "secondary" parameters with which to augment the bHOD, we find that the local environment of the halo, the velocity dispersion anisotropy, $\beta$, and the product of the half-mass radius and the velocity dispersion, $\sigma^2 R_{\rm halfmass}$, are the three most effective measures of assembly bias that help reconcile the bHOD-predicted clustering with that in TNG300. In addition, we test other halo properties such as halo spin, formation epoch and halo concentration. We also find that at fixed halo mass, galaxies in one type of environment cluster differently from galaxies in another. We demonstrate that a more complete model of the galaxy-halo connection can be constructed if both the mass and information regarding the local environment in which a halo is embedded are combined.

1911.04312
Clustering of Local Group distances: publication bias or correlated measurements?  VI. Extending to Virgo cluster distances
de Grijs, Bono

We have established an internally consistent Local Group distance framework, using the Galactic Center, the Large Magellanic Cloud, and Messier 31 (M31) as important stepping stones. At greater distances, few distance benchmarks are available. As a consequence, M87 and/or Virgo cluster distances are often invoked as the next rung on the ladder to more distant objects such as the Fornax and Coma clusters. Therefore, we extensively mined the published literature for independently derived distance estimates to either M87 or the center of the Virgo cluster. Based on our newly compiled, comprehensive database of 213 such distances, published between 1929 and 2017 July, we recommend an outward extension to our distance framework, $(m-M)_0^{\rm M87} = 31.03 \pm 0.14$ mag ($D = 16.07 \pm 1.03$ Mpc; where the uncertainty represents the Gaussian $\sigma$ of the distribution), based on a subset of recent (post-1990) M87/Virgo cluster distance measurements. The most stable distance tracers employed here were derived from analysis of both primary and secondary distance indicators. Among the former, we preferentially rely on Cepheid period--luminosity relations and red-giant-branch terminal magnitudes; our preferred secondary distance tracers are surface brightness fluctuations. Our updated distance modulus to M87 implies a slightly reduced black hole mass of $(5.9 \pm 0.6) \times 10^9 M_\odot$ with respect to that determined by the Event Horizon Telescope collaboration.

1911.04507
Probing the galaxy-halo connection with total satellite luminosity
Tinker, et al

We demonstrate how the total luminosity in satellite galaxies is a powerful probe of dark matter halos around central galaxies. The method cross-correlates central galaxies in spectroscopic galaxy samples with fainter galaxies detected in photometric surveys. After background subtraction, the excess galaxies around the central galaxies represent faint satellite galaxies within the dark matter halo. Using abundance matching models, we show that the the total galaxy luminosity, L_sat, scales linearly with host halo mass, making L_sat an excellent proxy for M_h. L_sat is also sensitive to the formation time of the halo, as younger halos have more substructure at fixed M_h. We demonstrate that probes of galaxy large-scale environment can break this degeneracy. Although this is an indirect probe of the halo, it can yield a high-S/N measurement for galaxies expected to occupy halos at $<10^{12}$ M_sol, where other methods suffer from larger errors. In this paper we focus on observational and theoretical systematics in the L_sat method. We test the robustness of our method of finding central galaxies and our methods of estimating the number of background galaxies. We implement this method on central galaxies in SDSS data, with satellites identified in faint imaging from the DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys. We find excellent agreement between our theoretical predictions and the observational measurements. Finally, we compare our L_sat measurements to weak lensing estimates of M_h for red and blue subsamples. In the stellar mass range where the measurements overlap, we find consistent results, where red galaxies live in larger halos. However, the L_sat approach allows us to probe significantly lower mass galaxies. At these masses, the L_sat values are equivalent. This example shows the potential of L_sat as a probe of dark halos. (Abridged)

1911.04509

Connecting SDSS central galaxies to their host haloes using total satellite luminosity

Alpaslan, Tinker

The total luminosity of satellite galaxies around a central galaxy, L$_{sat}$, is a powerful metric for probing dark matter halos. In this paper we use data from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey and DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys to explore the relationship between L$_{sat}$ and various observable galaxy properties for a sample of 117,966 central galaxies out to $z = 0.15$. At fixed stellar mass, every galaxy property we explore shows a correlation with L$_{sat}$. This implies that dark matter halos play a possibly significant role in determining these secondary galaxy properties. We quantify these correlations by computing the mutual information between L$_{sat}$ and secondary properties and explore how this mutual information varies as a function of stellar mass and when separating the sample into star-forming and quiescent central galaxies. We find that absolute r-band magnitude correlates more strongly with L$_{sat}$ than stellar mass across all galaxy populations; and that effective radius, velocity dispersion, and S\'ersic index do so as well for star-forming and quiescent galaxies. L$_{sat}$ is sensitive to both the mass of the host halo as well as the halo formation history, with younger halos having higher L$_{sat}$. L$_{sat}$ by itself cannot distinguish between these two effects, but measurements of galaxy large-scale environment can break this degeneracy. For star-forming central galaxies, we find that r$_{\rm eff}$, $\sigma_v$, and S\'ersic index all correlate with large-scale density, implying that these halo age plays a role in determining these properties. For quiescent galaxies, we find that all secondary properties are independent of environment, implying that correlations with L$_{sat}$ are driven only by halo mass. These results are a significant step forward in quantifying the full extent of the galaxy-halo connection, and present a new test of galaxy formation models.

1911.04524

Hyperbolic Orbits in the Solar System: interstellar origin or perturbed Oort Cloud Coments?

Higuchi, Kokubo

We study the dynamical properties of objects in hyperbolic orbits passing through the inner Solar system in the context of two different potential sources: interstellar space and the Oort cloud. We analytically derive the probability distributions of eccentricity, $e$, and perihelion distance, $q$, for each source and estimate the numbers of objects produced per unit of time as a function of these quantities. By comparing the numbers from the two sources, we assess which origin is more likely for a hyperbolic object having a given eccentricity and perihelion distance. We find that the likelihood that a given hyperbolic object is of interstellar origin increases with decreasing eccentricity and perihelion. Conversely, the likelihood that a hyperbolic object has been scattered from the Oort cloud by a passing star increases with decreasing eccentricity and increasing perihelion. By carefully considering their orbital elements, we conclude that both 1I/2017 U1 'Oumuamua ($e\simeq$ 1.2 and $q\simeq$ 0.26 au) and 2I/2019 Q4 Borisov ($e\simeq$ 3.3 and $q\simeq$ 2 au) are most likely of interstellar origin, not scattered from the Oort cloud. However, we also find that Oort cloud objects can be scattered into hyperbolic orbits like those of the two known examples, by sub-stellar and even sub-Jovian mass perturbers. This highlights the need for better characterization of the low mass end of the free-floating brown dwarf and planet population.

1911.04670

Residual smoothing: using mocks to correct model covariance matrices

O'Connell

Abstract Covariance matrix estimation is a challenging problem in cosmology. Recent work has shown that model covariance matrices can be precise, and that at relatively large scales they can also be accurate. We introduce a data-driven method that can identify features from a mock covariance matrix that are missing from a corresponding model, then incorporate them into the model without significantly degrading the model's precision. We apply this method to a BOSS-like survey and extend a model covariance to be valid at scales relevant for measurements of Redshift Space Distortions (8-40 Mpc/h), where the galaxy field is significantly non-Gaussian.

1911.05068

The Vanishing & Appearing sources during a Century of Observations project: I>  USNO objects missing in modern sky surveys and follow-up observations of a "missing star"

Villarroel, et al

In this paper we report the current status of a new research program. The primary goal of the "Vanishing & Appearing Sources during a Century of Observations" (VASCO) project is to search for vanishing and appearing sources using existing survey data to find examples of exceptional astrophysical transients. The implications of finding such objects extend from traditional astrophysics fields to the more exotic searches for evidence of technologically advanced civilizations. In this first paper we present new, deeper observations of the tentative candidate discovered by Villarroel et al. (2016). We then perform the first searches for vanishing objects throughout the sky by comparing 600 million objects from the US Naval Observatory Catalogue (USNO) B1.0 down to a limiting magnitude of $\sim 20 - 21$ with the recent Pan-STARRS Data Release-1 (DR1) with a limiting magnitude of $\sim$ 23.4. We find about 150,000 preliminary candidates that do not have any Pan-STARRS counterpart within a 30 arcsec radius. We show that these objects are redder and have larger proper motions than typical USNO objects. We visually examine the images for a subset of about 24,000 candidates, superseding the 2016 study with a sample ten times larger. We find about $\sim$ 100 point sources visible in only one epoch in the red band of the USNO which may be of interest in searches for strong M dwarf flares, high-redshift supernovae or other catagories of unidentified red transients.