Day 1635

Monday.  Tuesday.

1910.01644

Constraining star formation histories of blue galaxies using the scatter between stellar mass and halo mass

Hahn, Tinker, Wetzel

We present constraints on the timescale of star formation variability and the correlation between star formation and host halo accretion histories of star-forming (SF) central galaxies from the scatter of the stellar-to-halo mass relation (SHMR). SF galaxies are found to have a tight relationship between their star formation rates and stellar masses on the so-called "star-forming sequence" (SFS), which characterizes their SF histories and $M_*$ growths. Meanwhile, observed SHMR constraints connect $M_*$ growth to halo accretion history. Combining these observed trends with a cosmological $N$-body simulation, we present flexible models that track the SF, $M_*$, and halo accretion histories of SF central galaxies at $z<1$ while reproducing the observed stellar mass function and SFS in SDSS DR7. We find that the scatter in SHMR at $M_h=10^{12}M_\odot$, $\sigma_{M_*|M_h=10^{12}M_\odot}$, is sensitive to the timescale of star formation variability, $t_{\rm duty}$, and the correlation coefficient, $r$, between SF and halo accretion histories: shorter $t_{\rm duty}$ and higher $r$ both result in tighter $\sigma_{M_*|M_h=10^{12}M_\odot}$. To reproduce a constant 0.2 dex scatter over $z=1-0$, our models require $t_{\rm duty}\leq1.5$ Gyr for $r=0.99$ or $r>0.6$ for $t_{\rm duty}=0.1$ Gyr. For $r\sim0.6$, as found in the literature, $t_{\rm duty}<0.2$ Gyr is necessary. Meanwhile, to reproduce the tightening of $\sigma_{M_*|M_h=10^{12}M_\odot}=0.35$ to 0.2 dex from $z=1-0$ in hydrodynamical simulations, our models require $t_{\rm duty}=0.1$ Gyr for $r>0.5$. Although, the lack of consensus on $\sigma_{M_*|M_h=10^{12}M_\odot}$ at $M_h=10^{12}M_\odot$ and at $z=1$ from observations and galaxy formation models remains the main bottleneck in precisely constraining $r$ and $t_{\rm duty}$, we demonstrate that SHMR can be used to constrain the SF and host halo accretion histories of SF central galaxies.

1910.01745

Sensitivity analysis of a galaxy formation model

Oeskiewicz, Baugh

We present the first application of a variance-based sensitivity analysis (SA) to a model that aims to predict the evolution and properties of the whole galaxy population. SA is a well-established technique in other quantitative sciences, but is a relatively novel tool for the evaluation of astrophysical models. We perform a multi-parameter exploration of the GALFORM semi-analytic galaxy formation model, to compute how sensitive the present-day K-band luminosity function is to varying different model parameters. The parameter space is scanned using a low-discrepancy sampling technique proposed by Saltelli. We first demonstrate the usefulness of the SA approach by varying just two model parameters, one which controls supernova feedback and the other the heating of gas by AGN. The SA analysis matches our physical intuition regarding how these parameters affect the predictions for different parts of the galaxy luminosity function. We then use SA to compute Sobol' sensitivity indices varying seven model parameters, connecting the variance in the model output to the variance in the input parameters. The sensitivity is computed in luminosity bins, allowing us to probe the origin of the model predictions in detail. We discover that the SA correctly identifies the least- and most important parameters. Moreover, the SA also captures the combined responses of varying multiple parameters at the same time. Our study marks a much needed step away from the traditional "one-at-a-time" parameter variation often used in this area and improves the transparency of multi-parameter models of galaxy formation.

1910.02906
A framework for measuring weak-lensing magnification using the fundamental plane
Freudenburg, Huff, Hirata

Galaxy-galaxy lensing is an essential tool for probing dark matter halos and constraining cosmological parameters. While galaxy-galaxy lensing measurements usually rely on shear, weak-lensing magnification contains additional constraining information. Using the fundamental plane (FP) of elliptical galaxies to anchor the size distribution of a background population is one method that has been proposed for performing a magnification measurement. We present a formalism for using the FP residuals of elliptical galaxies to jointly estimate the foreground mass and background redshift errors for a stacked lens scenario. The FP residuals include information about weak-lensing magnification $\kappa$, and therefore foreground mass, since to first order, nonzero $\kappa$ affects galaxy size but not other FP properties. We also present a modular, extensible code that implements the formalism using emulated galaxy catalogs of a photometric galaxy survey. We find that combining FP information with observed number counts of the source galaxies constrains mass and photo-z error parameters significantly better than an estimator that includes number counts only. In particular, the improvement in the constraint on the mass is an order of magnitude better if FP residuals are included. Furthermore, we find that the mass estimator is robust to selection effects. The effective size noise for a foreground lens of mass $M_H=10^{14}M_\odot$, with a conservative selection function in size and surface brightness applied to the source population, is $\sigma_{\kappa,\mathrm{eff}}=0.183$. We discuss the improvements to our FP model necessary to make this formalism a practical companion to shear analyses in weak lensing surveys.