Day 1627

Tuesday.  Wednesday.

1909.03107
Cosmological evidence modelling: a new simulation-based approach to constrain cosmology on non-linear scales
Lange, et al

Extracting accurate cosmological information from galaxy-galaxy and galaxy-matter correlation functions on non-linear scales ($\lesssim 10 h^{-1} \mathrm{Mpc}$) requires cosmological simulations. Additionally, one has to marginalise over several nuisance parameters of the galaxy-halo connection. However, the computational cost of such simulations prohibits naive implementations of stochastic posterior sampling methods like Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) that would require of order $\mathcal{O}(10^6)$ samples in cosmological parameter space. Several groups have proposed surrogate models as a solution: a so-called emulator is trained to reproduce observables for a limited number of realisations in parameter space. Afterwards, this emulator is used as a surrogate model in an MCMC analysis. Here, we demonstrate a different method called Cosmological Evidence Modelling (CEM). First, for each simulation, we calculate the Bayesian evidence marginalised over the galaxy-halo connection by repeatedly populating the simulation with galaxies. We show that this Bayesian evidence is directly related to the posterior probability of cosmological parameters. Finally, we build a physically motivated model for how the evidence depends on cosmological parameters as sampled by the simulations. We demonstrate the feasibility of CEM by using simulations from the Aemulus simulation suite and forecasting cosmological constraints from BOSS CMASS measurements of redshift-space distortions. Our analysis includes an exploration of how galaxy assembly bias affects cosmological inference. Overall, CEM has several potential advantages over the more common approach of emulating summary statistics, including the ability to easily marginalise over highly complex models of the galaxy-halo connection and greater accuracy, thereby reducing the number of simulations required.

1909.03138

The impact of type Ia supernovae in quiescent galaxies: I. Formation of the multiphase interstellar medium

Li, et al

A cool phase of the interstellar medium has been observed in many giant elliptical galaxies, but its origin remains unclear. We propose that uneven heating from Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia), together with radiative cooling, can lead to the formation of the cool phase. The basic idea is that since SNe Ia explode randomly, gas parcels which are not directly heated by SN shocks will cool, forming multiphase gas. We run a series of idealized high-resolution numerical simulations, and find that cool gas develops even when the overall SNe heating rate $H$ exceeds the cooling rate $C$ by a factor as large as 1.4. We also find that the time for multiphase gas development depends on the gas temperature. When the medium has a temperature $T = 3\times 10^6$ K, the cool phase forms within one cooling time \tc; however, the cool phase formation is delayed to a few times \tc\ for higher temperatures. The main reason for the delay is turbulent mixing. Cool gas formed this way would naturally have a metallicity lower than that of the hot medium. For constant $H/C$, there is more turbulent mixing for higher temperature gas. We note that this mechanism of producing cool gas cannot be captured in cosmological simulations, which usually fail to resolve individual SN remnants.

1909.03996

The formation of the Martian moons

Rosenblatt, et al

Almost all the planets of our solar system have moons. Each planetary system has however unique characteristics. The Martian system has not one single big moon like the Earth, not tens of moons of various sizes like for the giant planets, but two small moons: Phobos and Deimos. How did form such a system? This question is still being investigated on the basis of the Earth-based and space-borne observations of the Martian moons and of the more modern theories proposed to account for the formation of other moon systems. The most recent scenario of formation of the Martian moons relies on a giant impact occurring at early Mars history and having also formed the so-called hemispheric crustal dichotomy. This scenario accounts for the current orbits of both moons unlike the scenario of capture of small size asteroids. It also predicts a composition of disk material as a mixture of Mars and impactor materials that is in agreement with remote sensing observations of both moon surfaces, which suggests a composition different from Mars. The composition of the Martian moons is however unclear, given the ambiguity on the interpretation of the remote sensing observations. The study of the formation of the Martian moon system has improved our understanding of moon formation of terrestrial planets: The giant collision scenario can have various outcomes and not only a big moon as for the Earth. This scenario finds a natural place in our current vision of the early solar system when conditions were favorable for giant collisions to occur. The next step in exploration of Martian moon is a sample return mission to test the giant collision scenario for their origin, and to provide tests of models of early solar system dynamics since Mars may retain material exchanged between the inner and outer solar system.